Timofey Skatov vs Yanki ErelPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Istanbul Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 7 · 3:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.44 or shorter, Timofey Skatov has won 45 of 67 (67%). The price implied 71%, so Timofey Skatov has fallen 4 points short of it.
At 2.69 or longer, Yanki Erel has won 6 of 23 (26%). That is level with the 27% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Yanki Erel meets Timofey Skatov in the first round of the Istanbul Challenger on hard court Monday. Erel ranks 305th; Skatov sits at 205th. The two have never played.
Erel has won 6 of his last 10 matches and arrives with momentum from seven matches in fourteen days, though he dropped his most recent outing. Skatov has taken only one of his last five and one of his last ten; he has not played since late August. Both players defeated Sergey Fomin recently, while Erel won against Radu Albot in a head-to-head Skatov lost.
Erel operates as a well-rounded player across court surfaces and comes in with a 70% hard court record over a recent sample. Skatov mixes court coverage and variety in his game, posting 55% on hard. The difference in recent activity and momentum will test how Skatov responds after his extended layoff, while Erel must sustain his rhythm through another round.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Skatov | Erel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Timofey Skatov | Yanki Erel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 20/27 | 75% | 40/53 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 10/33 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 17/60 | 28% | 19/69 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 11/30 | 54% | 32/59 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 15/28 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 30% | 7/23 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 23/29 | 90% | 46/51 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 20/29 | 78% | 40/51 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Skatov
🎾 All-Court
Erel
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 276 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Skatov and Erel have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Skatov | Erel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Timofey Skatov | Yanki Erel | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 100% | 22/22 |
| 3 or more | 39% | 5/13 | 73% | 16/22 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 55% | 12/22 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 5% | 1/22 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 5% | 1/22 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Skatov | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–10 | 16–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.03 | 1.37 |
| ROI % | -1.9% | -3.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.30u | -0.67u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Skatov | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,547 mi · 2,489 km | — |
| Route | MEX → USA | TPE → JPN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Erel has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Skatov's 33%).
| Opponent | Skatov | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Radu Albot | L 61 16 46 | W 61 67 64 |
| Sergey Fomin | L 36 57 | W 62 36 76 |
| Daniil Ostapenkov | W 67 76 64 | W 61 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Grigor Dimitrov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Gauthier Onclin
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Barrena
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Juan Pablo Varillas
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Otto Virtanen
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Thomas Faurel
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Andrey Rublev
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Ryuki Matsuda
M25 Urayasu · Semifinals
Sep 5
Keisuke Saitoh
M25 Urayasu · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Yuto Oki
M25 Urayasu · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Kosuke Ogura
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round
Sep 2
Luca Castelnuovo
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Hikaru Shiraishi
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Kokoro Isomura
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Gijs Brouwer
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–69 matches
| Metric | Skatov | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 77% |
| Sets won | 47% | 71% |
| Games won | 49% | 60% |