Tatjana Maria vs Zhuoxuan BaiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#79 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇨🇳Zhuoxuan Bai
#249 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
7wTatjana Maria and Zhuoxuan Bai have met 2 times since 2023; Tatjana Maria leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Maria leads 2–0. Maria has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Maria has taken 4 sets to Bai's 0. Their most recent meeting: Tatjana Maria won at Transylvania Open - Cluj-Napoca (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maria | Bai | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Tatjana Maria | Zhuoxuan Bai | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 97% | 29/30 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 7/30 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 13% | 8/60 | 40% | 10/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 81% | 21/26 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 13/33 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 29/34 | 59% | 10/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maria 2, Bai 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Bai
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tatjana Maria.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 6, 2024
Transylvania Open - Cluj-Napoca
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 20, 2023
Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Maria | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–8 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | +8.1% | -43.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.03u | -1.30u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Maria | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maria has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Bai's 0%).
| Opponent | Maria | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Tatiana Prozorova | L 67 46 | L 36 16 |
| Dominika Salkova | W 63 62 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Tatiana Prozorova
Enka Open - Istanbul · 1st Round
Jul 13
Polina Iatcenko
Wimbledon
Jun 24
Tamara Zidansek
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Michika Ozeki
W35 Wuning · 2nd Round
May 28
Qiu Yu Ye
W35 Wuning · 1st Round
May 27
En Shuo Liang
Jiangxi Open - Jiujiang · Semifinals
May 9
Lizette Cabrera
Jiangxi Open - Jiujiang · Quarterfinals
May 8
Viktoria Morvayova
Jiangxi Open - Jiujiang · 2nd Round
May 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–60 matches
| Metric | Maria | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 60% |
| Sets won | 52% | 58% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maria | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maria | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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