Tatjana Maria vs Zhuoxuan BaiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฉ๐ชTatjana Maria
#71 ยท 38 yrs ยท Right-Handed
4Title2 meetings ยท sets 4โ0

๐จ๐ณZhuoxuan Bai
#200 ยท 23 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Tatjana Maria and Zhuoxuan Bai have met 2 times since 2023; Tatjana Maria leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Maria leads 2โ0. Maria has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Maria has taken 4 sets to Bai's 0. Their most recent meeting: Tatjana Maria won at Transylvania Open - Cluj-Napoca (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maria | Bai | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Tatjana Maria | Zhuoxuan Bai | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 94% | 30/32 | 66% | 19/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 8/28 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 17% | 10/60 | 38% | 17/45 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 82% | 23/28 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 45% | 14/31 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 7/12 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 31/36 | 81% | 22/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 30/36 | 70% | 19/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maria 2, Bai 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maria
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Bai
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Tatjana Maria and Zhuoxuan Bai are ๐ฅ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 6, 2024
Transylvania Open - Cluj-Napoca
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Sep 20, 2023
Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Maria | Bai | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Tatjana Maria | Zhuoxuan Bai | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 3 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Maria | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ5 | 8โ5 |
| Avg odds | 2.04 | 1.51 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | -4.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.87u | -0.62u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Maria | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 8 |
| Distance | โ | โ |
| Route | UKR โ TUR | SUI โ ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Maria has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Bai's 25%).
| Opponent | Maria | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Emerson Jones | L 36 36 | W 16 63 76 |
| Linda Fruhvirtova | W 60 61 | L 26 36 |
| Tatiana Prozorova | L 67 46 | L 36 16 |
| Dominika Salkova | W 63 62 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton ยท Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton ยท 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara ยท 1st Round
Sep 14
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Kyoka Okamura
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Emerson Jones
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou ยท 2nd Round
Oct 8
Moyuka Uchijima
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou ยท 1st Round
Oct 6
Linda Fruhvirtova
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Jiayi Wang
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Mina Hodzic
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Sijia Wei
W35 Shenyang ยท 2nd Round
Sep 17
Hong Yi Cody Wong
W35 Shenyang ยท 1st Round
Sep 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 45โ60 matches
| Metric | Maria | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 64% |
| Sets won | 55% | 61% |
| Games won | 53% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maria | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maria | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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