Tatjana Maria vs Venus WilliamsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#79 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇺🇸Venus Williams
#611 · 45 yrs · Right-Handed
14Tatjana Maria and Venus Williams have met 1 time since 2026; Tatjana Maria leads 1–0. Across all meetings Maria has taken 2 sets to Williams's 0. Their most recent meeting: Tatjana Maria won at Hobart International - Hobart (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maria | Williams | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Tatjana Maria | Venus Williams | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 97% | 29/30 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 7/30 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 13% | 8/60 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 81% | 21/26 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 13/33 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 29/34 | 0% | 0/1 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maria 1, Williams 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Williams
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 13, 2026
Hobart International - Hobart
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Maria | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–8 | 0–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 4.35 |
| ROI % | +8.1% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.03u | -4.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Maria | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maria has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Williams's 0%).
| Opponent | Maria | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 64 63 | L 46 16 |
| Magda Linette | W 60 63 | L 46 64 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 2
Anastasia Potapova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Irina Camelia Begu
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 22
Kaitlin Quevedo
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 21
Francesca Jones
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 19
Diane Parry
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Ajla Tomljanovic
ATX Open - Austin · 1st Round
Feb 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 11–60 matches
| Metric | Maria | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 0% |
| Sets won | 52% | 15% |
| Games won | 52% | 38% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maria | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maria | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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