Tatjana Maria vs Taylor TownsendPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π©πͺTatjana Maria
#79 Β· 38 yrs Β· Right-Handed
1 meeting Β· sets 0β2

πΊπΈTaylor Townsend
#95 Β· 30 yrs Β· Left-Handed
Tatjana Maria and Taylor Townsend have met 1 time since 2025; Taylor Townsend leads 1β0. Across all meetings Maria has taken 0 sets to Townsend's 2. Their most recent meeting: Taylor Townsend won at Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maria | Townsend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Tatjana Maria | Taylor Townsend | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 97% | 29/30 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 7/30 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 13% | 8/60 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 81% | 21/26 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 13/33 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 29/34 | 75% | 9/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maria 0, Townsend 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maria
π₯ Big Hitter
Townsend
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 22, 2025
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Maria | Townsend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Tatjana Maria | Taylor Townsend | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 21/23 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 61% | 14/23 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 5 or more | 30% | 7/23 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 10 or more | 9% | 2/23 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Maria | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17β8 | 4β4 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 2.75 |
| ROI % | +8.1% | -7.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.03u | -0.56u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Maria | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 411 mi Β· 662 km | 411 mi Β· 662 km |
| Route | CAN β POL | CAN β POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Townsend has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Maria's 33%).
| Opponent | Maria | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 57 06 | L 36 46 |
| Marie Bouzkova | L 57 06 | W 76 75 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 63 75 | W 64 75 |
| Iva Jovic | L 16 26 | L 57 26 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 64 63 | L 36 61 26 |
| Rebeka Masarova | L 46 36 | W 57 62 62 |
| Linda Fruhvirtova | W 60 61 | W 46 76 75 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 36 06 | L 36 26 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 57 26 | L 36 76 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis Β· 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport Β· Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport Β· Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 8
Marie Bouzkova
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Tereza Valentova
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg WTA
Jun 21
Martina Trevisan
Bad Homburg WTA
Jun 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 24β60 matches
| Metric | Maria | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 50% |
| Sets won | 52% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maria | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maria | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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