Tatjana Maria vs Taylor TownsendPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#71 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
4Title2 meetings · sets 1–4
🇺🇸Taylor Townsend
#89 · 30 yrs · Left-Handed
4w3Tatjana Maria and Taylor Townsend have met 2 times since 2025; Taylor Townsend leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Townsend leads 2–0. Townsend has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Maria has taken 1 sets to Townsend's 4. Their most recent meeting: Taylor Townsend won at Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maria | Townsend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Tatjana Maria | Taylor Townsend | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 94% | 30/32 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 8/28 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 17% | 10/60 | 34% | 12/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 82% | 23/28 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 45% | 14/31 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 7/12 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 31/36 | 89% | 16/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 30/36 | 83% | 15/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maria 0, Townsend 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Townsend
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 14, 2026
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 22, 2025
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Maria | Townsend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Tatjana Maria | Taylor Townsend | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 5 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Maria | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 7–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.04 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | +27.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.87u | +2.73u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Maria | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TUR | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Townsend has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Maria's 30%).
| Opponent | Maria | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | L 26 57 | W 62 67 63 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 76 26 36 | W 61 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 57 06 | L 36 46 |
| Marie Bouzkova | L 57 06 | W 76 75 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 63 75 | W 64 75 |
| Iva Jovic | L 16 26 | L 57 26 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 64 63 | L 36 61 26 |
| Rebeka Masarova | L 46 36 | W 57 62 62 |
| Linda Fruhvirtova | W 60 61 | W 46 76 75 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 36 06 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton · Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Tatjana Maria
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Diana Shnaider
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Taylah Preston
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Maja Chwalinska
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–60 matches
| Metric | Maria | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 63% |
| Sets won | 55% | 60% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maria | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maria | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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