Taro Daniel vs Tristan SchoolkatePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Taro Daniel and Tristan Schoolkate have met 2 times since 2024; Tristan Schoolkate leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Schoolkate leads 2–0. Schoolkate has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Daniel has taken 3 sets to Schoolkate's 6. Their most recent meeting: Tristan Schoolkate won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Daniel | Schoolkate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Taro Daniel | Tristan Schoolkate | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 29/40 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 8/21 | 47% | 14/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 19/61 | 40% | 25/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 15/25 | 54% | 19/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 23/30 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 35/42 | 83% | 24/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 29/42 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Daniel
🪃 Counterpuncher
Schoolkate
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tristan Schoolkate.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 13, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 27, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Daniel | Schoolkate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Taro Daniel | Tristan Schoolkate | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 38% | 6/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 6% | 1/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Daniel | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.73 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | +5.1% | +2.6% |
| Units P/L | +0.82u | +0.47u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Daniel | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 6 | 8 |
| Distance | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km | 6,970 mi · 11,217 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | FRA → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Daniel and Schoolkate posted a 56% win rate.
| Opponent | Daniel | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Sweeny | W 76 62 | L 63 36 26 |
| Hayato Matsuoka | W 64 76 | W 60 64 |
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | L 46 67 | L 46 63 57 |
| Federico Cina | W 76 06 62 | W 36 64 76 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 76 26 | L 46 46 |
| Facundo Mena | W 63 64 | W 26 62 76 |
| Andy Andrade | W 36 63 62 | W 64 60 |
| Rei Sakamoto | L 67 26 | W 63 64 |
| James Duckworth | L 62 67 26 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Shintaro Mochizuki
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Fabian Marozsan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Dane Sweeny
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Hayato Matsuoka
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Jake Delaney
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Matthew Dellavedova
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Dane Sweeny
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Harold Mayot
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Philip Henning
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Matteo Martineau
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Harold Mayot
Rennes Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Matisse Bobichon
Rennes Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Anton Matusevich
Rennes Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Marek Gengel
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–66 matches
| Metric | Daniel | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 50% |
| Sets won | 62% | 50% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Daniel | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Daniel | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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