Taro Daniel vs Tristan SchoolkatePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Taro Daniel and Tristan Schoolkate have met 2 times since 2024; Tristan Schoolkate leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Schoolkate leads 2–0. Schoolkate has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Daniel has taken 3 sets to Schoolkate's 6. Their most recent meeting: Tristan Schoolkate won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Daniel | Schoolkate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Taro Daniel | Tristan Schoolkate | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 25/35 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 8/21 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 18/56 | 40% | 21/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 10/17 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 74% | 25/34 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 8/19 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 29/33 | 79% | 19/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 25/33 | 67% | 16/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Daniel
🏹 Frontrunner
Schoolkate
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 767 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 13, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 27, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Daniel | Schoolkate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Taro Daniel | Tristan Schoolkate | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 44% | 8/18 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 28% | 5/18 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Daniel | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 1.76 |
| ROI % | +67.7% | -15.0% |
| Units P/L | +12.19u | -1.80u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Daniel | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Daniel and Schoolkate posted a 44% win rate.
| Opponent | Daniel | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Federico Cina | W 76 06 62 | W 36 64 76 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 76 26 | L 46 46 |
| Facundo Mena | W 63 64 | W 26 62 76 |
| Andy Andrade | W 36 63 62 | W 64 60 |
| Coleman Wong | W 63 62 | L 46 46 |
| Dane Sweeny | L 57 46 | L 63 67 67 |
| Rei Sakamoto | L 67 26 | W 63 64 |
| James Duckworth | L 62 67 26 | L 36 26 |
| Yi Zhou | L 76 36 06 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jan Choinski
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Duncan Chan
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Botic van de Zandschulp
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Bastad
Jul 13
Federico Coria
Bastad
Jul 12
Valentin Royer
Iasi Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Andre Ilagan
Brownsburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Federico Cina
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 13
Quinn Vandecasteele
Brownsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Murphy Cassone
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Arthur Gea
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
August Holmgren
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Nicolas Mejia
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Daniel Evans
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–56 matches
| Metric | Daniel | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 47% |
| Sets won | 60% | 47% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Daniel | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Daniel | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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