Strong Kirchheimer vs Thai-Son KwiatkowskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈStrong Kirchheimer
#682 Β· 31 yrs Β· R
7w2 meetings Β· sets 3β2

πΊπΈThai-Son Kwiatkowski
#1596 Β· 31 yrs Β· R
25wStrong Kirchheimer and Thai-Son Kwiatkowski have met 2 times since 2023; they are level 1β1. Their first meeting came at Knoxville Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1β1. Across all meetings Kirchheimer has taken 3 sets to Kwiatkowski's 2. Their most recent meeting: Strong Kirchheimer won at Winston-Salem (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kirchheimer | Kwiatkowski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Strong Kirchheimer | Thai-Son Kwiatkowski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 17/31 | β | |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 9/32 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 23/63 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 8/21 | β | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 14/30 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 12/26 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 23/28 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 17/28 | 0% | 0/1 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample β read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kirchheimer 1, Kwiatkowski 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kirchheimer
βοΈ Grinder
Kwiatkowski
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The π₯ Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs βοΈ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Thai-Son Kwiatkowski.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 18, 2024
Winston-Salem
H Hard Β· 2nd Round Qualifying
Nov 7, 2023
Knoxville Challenger
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Kirchheimer | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8β4 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | - |
| ROI % | -0.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.03u | - |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Philip Sekulic
Granby Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 14
Edward Winter
Granby challenger
Jul 13
Kody Pearson
Granby challenger
Jul 12
Jay Friend
M25 Laval Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 11
Tristan Stringer
Futures 2026
Jul 10
Miko Lapalme
M25 Laval Β· 1st Round
Jul 9
Tristan Stringer
M25 Laval Β· 2nd Round
Jul 9
Miko Lapalme
Futures 2026
Jul 9
Blaise Bicknell
Arizona Tennis Classic Β· 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 10
Sho Shimabukuro
Nexo Dallas Open Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 7
Patrick Zahraj
Charlottesville Challenger Β· 1st Round
Oct 27
Alex Rybakov
Winston-Salem Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 9
Karl Poling
Winston-Salem Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Murphy Cassone
Washington Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Strong Kirchheimer
Winston-Salem Β· 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 18
Skander Mansouri
Winston-Salem Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 4β63 matches
| Metric | Kirchheimer | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 0% |
| Sets won | 48% | 11% |
| Games won | 50% | 40% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kirchheimer | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kirchheimer | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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