Strong Kirchheimer vs Thai-Son KwiatkowskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈStrong Kirchheimer
#717 Β· 31 yrs Β· R
9w2 meetings Β· sets 3β2

πΊπΈThai-Son Kwiatkowski
#1600 Β· 31 yrs Β· R
3wStrong Kirchheimer and Thai-Son Kwiatkowski have met 2 times since 2023; they are level 1β1. Their first meeting came at Knoxville Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1β1. Across all meetings Kirchheimer has taken 3 sets to Kwiatkowski's 2. Their most recent meeting: Strong Kirchheimer won at Winston-Salem (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kirchheimer | Kwiatkowski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Strong Kirchheimer | Thai-Son Kwiatkowski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 15/27 | β | |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 9/29 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 21/56 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 9/19 | β | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 13/27 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 10/26 | β | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 20/25 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 0% | 0/1 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample β read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kirchheimer 1, Kwiatkowski 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kirchheimer
πΎ All-Court
Kwiatkowski
π The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The π The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs πΎ All-Court across 281 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Thai-Son Kwiatkowski.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 18, 2024
Winston-Salem
H Hard Β· 2nd Round Qualifying
Nov 7, 2023
Knoxville Challenger
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Kirchheimer | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0β2 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.86 | - |
| ROI % | -100.0% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.00u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Ikenna Okonkwo
M25 East Lansing Β· 1st Round
Aug 12
Tyler Zink
Lexington Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Enzo Aguiard
Winnipeg Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Philip Sekulic
Granby Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 14
Edward Winter
Granby Challenger Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 13
Kody Pearson
Granby Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
M25 Laval Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Tristan Stringer
Futures 2026
Jul 10
Novak Novakovic
M15 Columbia Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Blaise Bicknell
Arizona Tennis Classic Β· 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 10
Elias Ymer
Phoenix Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 9
Sho Shimabukuro
Nexo Dallas Open Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 7
Patrick Zahraj
Charlottesville Challenger Β· 1st Round
Oct 27
Alex Rybakov
Winston-Salem Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 9
Karl Poling
Winston-Salem Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Murphy Cassone
Washington Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 4β56 matches
| Metric | Kirchheimer | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 0% |
| Sets won | 47% | 11% |
| Games won | 50% | 37% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kirchheimer | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kirchheimer | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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