Stefan Kozlov vs Tennys SandgrenPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈStefan Kozlov
#290 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
7 meetings Β· sets 8β8
πΊπΈTennys Sandgren
Unranked
129wStefan Kozlov and Tennys Sandgren have met 7 times since 2016; Stefan Kozlov leads 4β3. Their first meeting came at Knoxville in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Kozlov leads 3β1. On clay courts Sandgren leads 2β1. 2 of their meetings have been finals, split 1β1. Across all meetings Kozlov has taken 8 sets to Sandgren's 8. Their most recent meeting: Stefan Kozlov won at Tallahassee Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kozlov | Sandgren | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Stefan Kozlov | Tennys Sandgren | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 16/29 | β | |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 13/27 | β | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 26/56 | β | |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 13/31 | β | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 15/22 | β | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 7/17 | β | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 27/31 | β | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 16/31 | β | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample β read with care. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kozlov 2, Sandgren 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kozlov
πͺ Counterpuncher
Sandgren
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
The π€ Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs πͺ Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tennys Sandgren.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Apr 17, 2024
Tallahassee Challenger
C Clay Β· 2nd Round
Apr 12, 2024
Sarasota Challenger
C Clay Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 30, 2022
Las Vegas Challenger
H Hard Β· Final
Apr 12, 2019
Tallahassee
C Clay Β· Round of 32
Oct 18, 2017
Las Vegas
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Nov 27, 2016
Columbus 2
H Hard Β· Final
Nov 10, 2016
Knoxville
H Hard Β· Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Kozlov | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2β7 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | - |
| ROI % | -60.9% | - |
| Units P/L | -5.48u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kozlov | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | β |
| Events | 3 | β |
| Matches | 4 | β |
| Distance | 2,418 mi Β· 3,891 km | β |
| Route | USA | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mitchell Krueger
Columbus Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Oct 1
James Kent Trotter
Columbus Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 29
Colton Smith
San Diego 2 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 22
Darwin Blanch
Tiburon Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 15
Harry Wendelken
Brownsburg Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Aug 13
Aidan Mayo
Brownsburg Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 12
Zachary Svajda
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 25
Alan Magadan
Bloomfield Hills Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 21
Tristan Boyer
Savannah Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Apr 24
Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
Savannah Challenger Β· 1st Round
Apr 22
Stefan Kozlov
Tallahassee Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Apr 17
Martin Damm
Tallahassee Challenger Β· 1st Round
Apr 16
Zizou Bergs
Sarasota Challenger Β· Semifinals
Apr 13
Stefan Kozlov
Sarasota Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Apr 12
Dmitry Popko
Sarasota Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Apr 10
Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
Sarasota Challenger Β· 1st Round
Apr 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 56β56 matches
| Metric | Kozlov | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | - |
| Sets won | 51% | - |
| Games won | 51% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kozlov | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 4 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kozlov | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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