Sophie Luescher vs Zuzanna BednarzPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- W15 Chisinau
- Level
- ITF W15
- Round
- Quarterfinals
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 9 · 4:05 AM ET
Sophie Luescher faces Zuzanna Bednarz in the quarterfinals of the W15 Chisinau on clay, scheduled for October 9. This will be their first career meeting. Luescher arrives unranked and in sharp form, while Bednarz holds a ranking of 732.
Both players have won their last four and two matches respectively over the past fortnight. Luescher has converted 80% of her last five outings and 80% over ten, arriving just a day after her previous match. Bednarz matches that 80% win rate across both recent samples, though she has played fewer matches in the span. The two have common opponents in I Wen Wan and Laura Mair, each defeating both players in separate encounters.
Luescher's clay record stands at 14-6, a 70% conversion rate that reflects comfort on the surface. Bednarz shows 9-11 on clay, or 45%, indicating more variable results. Luescher's intensity and rally stamina will need to sustain over longer points, while Bednarz's all-court capability demands she diversify her shot selection and manage the physical demands of extended baseline exchanges on red clay.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Luescher | Bednarz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sophie Luescher | Zuzanna Bednarz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 17/22 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 7/14 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 12/36 | 44% | 14/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 6/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 78% | 7/9 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 94% | 16/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 17/23 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Luescher
⚔️ The Gladiator
Bednarz
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 3,148 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Zuzanna Bednarz.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Luescher and Bednarz have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Luescher | Bednarz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Sophie Luescher | Zuzanna Bednarz | ||
| 1 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 50% | 8/16 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 25% | 4/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Luescher | Bednarz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–4 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 2.91 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | +40.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.93u | +4.00u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Luescher | Bednarz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | POL → BUL | TUN → BUL |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Luescher and Bednarz posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Luescher | Bednarz |
|---|---|---|
| Natalia Drobca | W 60 60 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Mikhailova
W15 Chisinau · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Sara Victoria Balan
W15 Chisinau · 1st Round
Oct 6
Nala Kovacic
W15 Chisinau · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Natalia Drobca
W15 Chisinau · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Unknown Player
W15 Dijon · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Unknown Player
W15 Dijon · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Meline Lataste
W15 Dijon · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
W15 Dijon · 1st Round
Sep 8
Yelizaveta Trush
W15 Chisinau · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Krystyna Pochtovyk
W15 Chisinau · 1st Round
Oct 7
Lucie Petruzelova
W15 Radom · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Barbara Straszewska
W15 Radom · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Charlotte Narti
W15 Radom · 1st Round
Sep 9
Kateryna Lazarenko
W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Final
Sep 6
Emily Appleton
W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Semifinals
Sep 5
Oliwia Kadzielska
W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–36 matches
| Metric | Luescher | Bednarz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 56% |
| Sets won | 61% | 58% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |