Sophia Ksandinov vs Thea MarcuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Sophia Ksandinov and Thea Marcu have met 1 time since 2026; Sophia Ksandinov leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ksandinov has taken 2 sets to Marcu's 0. Their most recent meeting: Sophia Ksandinov won at W15 Chisinau (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ksandinov | Marcu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sophia Ksandinov | Thea Marcu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 10/14 | 83% | 10/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 22% | 2/9 | 14% | 2/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 6/23 | 15% | 4/26 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 4/6 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 40% | 4/10 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 2/6 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 13/14 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 10/14 | 91% | 10/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ksandinov 1, Marcu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ksandinov
🧱 The Wall
Marcu
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🧱 The Wall archetype wins about 53% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 737 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sophia Ksandinov.
The Wall players often use elite returner and low unforced errors to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 5, 2026
W15 Chisinau
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ksandinov | Marcu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Sophia Ksandinov | Thea Marcu | ||
| 1 or more | 22% | 2/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ksandinov | Marcu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–2 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 3.48 |
| ROI % | +32.1% | -68.6% |
| Units P/L | +2.57u | -4.80u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ksandinov | Marcu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | FRA → BUL | USA → BUL |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Marcu has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Ksandinov's 0%).
| Opponent | Ksandinov | Marcu |
|---|---|---|
| Unknown Player | L | W 63 46 106 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Unknown Player
W15 Chisinau · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Maria Kalyakina
W15 Chisinau · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Romina Hincu
W15 Chisinau · 1st Round
Oct 7
Thea Marcu
W15 Chisinau · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Iana Semichina
W15 Chisinau · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen
W15 Varna · 1st Round
Sep 29
Sophie Williams
W15 Varna · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Ana Lungu
W15 Varna · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Veronica Cervac
W15 Chisinau · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Sophia Ksandinov
W15 Chisinau · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Julia Helbet
W15 Chisinau · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Giulia Safina Popa
W15 Constanta · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Alla Traysta
W15 Constanta · 1st Round
Sep 22
Sapfo Sakellaridi
W15 Campulung · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alexia Shara Iancu
W15 Campulung · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Ana Maria Chirita
W15 Campulung · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–26 matches
| Metric | Ksandinov | Marcu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 46% |
| Sets won | 58% | 46% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ksandinov | Marcu |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ksandinov | Marcu |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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