Solana Sierra vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Solana Sierra
#87 · 21 yrs · Right-Handed
4w1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#79 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
Solana Sierra and Tatjana Maria have met 1 time since 2024; Tatjana Maria leads 1–0. Across all meetings Sierra has taken 0 sets to Maria's 2. Their most recent meeting: Tatjana Maria won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sierra | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Solana Sierra | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 22/31 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 5/22 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 14/53 | 13% | 8/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 12/22 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 17/28 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 6/8 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 25/26 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 22/26 | 85% | 29/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sierra 0, Maria 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sierra
💥 Big Hitter
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Solana Sierra and Tatjana Maria are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 26, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sierra | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Solana Sierra | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 91% | 21/23 |
| 3 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 61% | 14/23 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 9% | 2/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sierra | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 17–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.49 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -28.9% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.60u | +2.03u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sierra | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maria has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Sierra's 33%).
| Opponent | Sierra | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Dayana Yastremska | L 36 57 | W 61 62 |
| Sloane Stephens | L 36 46 | L 61 67 46 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 46 36 | L 64 67 16 |
| Tatiana Prozorova | L 16 75 26 | L 67 46 |
| Anna Bondar | W 63 57 75 | L 67 57 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 36 64 63 | W 64 63 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | L 16 36 | W 64 63 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 06 06 | L 26 06 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 06 62 63 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sloane Stephens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Tatiana Prozorova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Anna Bondar
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Qinwen Zheng
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 22
Anna Blinkova
Bad Homburg WTA
Jun 21
Ella Seidel
Bad Homburg WTA
Jun 20
Caty Mcnally
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–60 matches
| Metric | Sierra | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 50% |
| Sets won | 56% | 52% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sierra | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sierra | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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