Sofia Kenin vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Sofia Kenin
#110 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 3–2
🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#148 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
24wSofia Kenin and Varvara Gracheva have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2025 on clay. Across all meetings Kenin has taken 3 sets to Gracheva's 2. Their most recent meeting: Varvara Gracheva won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kenin | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sofia Kenin | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 6/12 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 9/24 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 15/36 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 3/9 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 14/27 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 57% | 8/14 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 43% | 6/14 | 20% | 1/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kenin 1, Gracheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kenin
🎯 Baseliner
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 330 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Varvara Gracheva.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 10, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 27, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kenin | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 3.27 | - |
| ROI % | -32.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.94u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kenin | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gracheva has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Kenin's 33%).
| Opponent | Kenin | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Viktorija Golubic | L 26 64 36 | W 61 26 61 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 26 63 75 | W 76 64 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 67 63 26 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Eva Lys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Emma Navarro
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Amanda Anisimova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Petra Marcinko
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Daria Snigur
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Viktorija Golubic
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 1st Round
Jun 16
Viktorija Golubic
Nottingham
Jun 14
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Laura Siegemund
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 1st Round
Feb 8
Elena Rybakina
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–36 matches
| Metric | Kenin | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 33% | 38% |
| Sets won | 38% | 36% |
| Games won | 44% | 43% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kenin | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kenin | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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