Sofia Kenin vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Sofia Kenin
#125 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
42 meetings · sets 3–2
🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#172 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
30wSofia Kenin and Varvara Gracheva have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2025 on clay. Across all meetings Kenin has taken 3 sets to Gracheva's 2. Their most recent meeting: Varvara Gracheva won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kenin | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sofia Kenin | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 6/10 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 11/27 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 15/37 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 3/10 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 13/27 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 53% | 8/15 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 40% | 6/15 | 44% | 4/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kenin 1, Gracheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kenin
🎯 Baseliner
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 404 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Varvara Gracheva.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 10, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 27, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kenin | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 3.54 | - |
| ROI % | -63.4% | - |
| Units P/L | -5.71u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kenin | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km | — |
| Route | POR → ROU → CZE | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gracheva has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Kenin's 0%).
| Opponent | Kenin | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 36 16 | L 46 06 |
| Viktorija Golubic | L 26 64 36 | W 61 26 61 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 67 63 26 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kamilla Rakhimova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Ashlyn Krueger
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alina Charaeva
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Venus Williams
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Eva Lys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Lucrezia Stefanini
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Magdalena Frech
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Priscilla Hon
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 13
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–37 matches
| Metric | Kenin | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 27% | 53% |
| Sets won | 35% | 48% |
| Games won | 44% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kenin | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kenin | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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