Sloane Stephens vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈSloane Stephens
#208 Β· 33 yrs Β· Right-Handed
44 meetings Β· sets 4β5

π«π·Varvara Gracheva
#148 Β· 25 yrs Β· Right-Handed
24wSloane Stephens and Varvara Gracheva have met 4 times since 2021; they are level 2β2. Their first meeting came at Phillip Island Trophy - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Gracheva leads 2β1. Across all meetings Stephens has taken 4 sets to Gracheva's 5. Their most recent meeting: Sloane Stephens won at French Open - Paris (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Stephens | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sloane Stephens | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 5/7 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 7/25 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 20% | 1/5 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 6/9 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 5/9 | 20% | 1/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Stephens 1, Gracheva 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Stephens
βοΈ Grinder
Gracheva
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The π₯ Big Hitter archetype wins about 60% vs βοΈ Grinder across 1,327 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Varvara Gracheva.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 31, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay Β· 2nd Round
Mar 3, 2023
ATX Open - Austin
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Feb 23, 2023
Merida Open Akron - Merida
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Feb 13, 2021
Phillip Island Trophy - Melbourne
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Stephens | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5β5 | - |
| Avg odds | 3.00 | - |
| ROI % | +8.3% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.83u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Stephens | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | β |
| Events | 4 | β |
| Matches | 7 | β |
| Distance | 1,730 mi Β· 2,784 km | β |
| Route | ECU β CAN β POL β ESP | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Stephens and Gracheva posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Stephens | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Belinda Bencic | L 36 16 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Philly Open - Philadelphia Β· 1st Round
Aug 25
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anastasia Potapova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 17
Sinja Kraus
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 15
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Solana Sierra
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Darja Vidmanova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis Β· 2nd Round
Jul 31
Yuliia Starodubtseva
The Memphis Classic - Memphis Β· 1st Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami Β· 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai Β· 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai Β· 1st Round
Feb 16
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha Β· 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha Β· 2nd Round
Feb 10
Laura Siegemund
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha Β· 1st Round
Feb 8
Elena Rybakina
Australian Open - Melbourne Β· 2nd Round
Jan 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 16β25 matches
| Metric | Stephens | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 28% | 38% |
| Sets won | 33% | 36% |
| Games won | 42% | 43% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Stephens | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Stephens | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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