Sho Shimabukuro vs Yuki MochizukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Sho Shimabukuro and Yuki Mochizuki have met 3 times since 2019; Sho Shimabukuro leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Yokkaichi in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Shimabukuro leads 3–0. Shimabukuro has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Shimabukuro has taken 6 sets to Mochizuki's 0. Their most recent meeting: Sho Shimabukuro won at Matsuyama Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shimabukuro | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sho Shimabukuro | Yuki Mochizuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 31/44 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | 19% | 6/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 22/69 | 29% | 15/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 20/38 | 32% | 8/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 16/28 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 17/24 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 40/46 | 94% | 15/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 31/46 | 69% | 11/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shimabukuro 3, Mochizuki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shimabukuro
🤖 Servebot
Mochizuki
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sho Shimabukuro.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Nov 4, 2025
Matsuyama Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 31, 2022
Yokohama Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 6, 2019
Yokkaichi
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shimabukuro | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Sho Shimabukuro | Yuki Mochizuki | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 69% | 11/16 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 38% | 6/16 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shimabukuro | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 8–10 |
| Avg odds | 2.30 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | -27.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.48u | -5.00u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shimabukuro | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 3 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | CHN → TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shimabukuro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Mochizuki's 0%).
| Opponent | Shimabukuro | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Kasidit Samrej | W 63 64 | L 46 67 |
| Omar Jasika | W 63 57 76 | L 46 57 |
| Uisung Park | W 76 61 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Miomir Kecmanovic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jaime Faria
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Frances Tiafoe
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Tallon Griekspoor
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Ben Shelton
Boss Open - Stuttgart · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Kasidit Samrej
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Hiromasa Koyama
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 18
Fanming Meng
M15 Tianjin · 1st Round
Aug 12
Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Tianjin · Final
Aug 9
Donghyun Hwang
M15 Tianjin · Semifinals
Aug 8
Tsung-Hao Huang
M15 Tianjin · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Ruochen Gao
M15 Tianjin · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Ruochen Gao
M15 Tianjin · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–70 matches
| Metric | Shimabukuro | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 38% |
| Sets won | 60% | 39% |
| Games won | 52% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shimabukuro | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shimabukuro | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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