Sho Shimabukuro vs Yuki MochizukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Sho Shimabukuro and Yuki Mochizuki have met 3 times since 2019; Sho Shimabukuro leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Yokkaichi in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Shimabukuro leads 3–0. Shimabukuro has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Shimabukuro has taken 6 sets to Mochizuki's 0. Their most recent meeting: Sho Shimabukuro won at Matsuyama Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shimabukuro | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sho Shimabukuro | Yuki Mochizuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 30/44 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 11/29 | 19% | 6/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 25/73 | 27% | 14/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 22/42 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 15/23 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 39/45 | 94% | 16/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 30/45 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shimabukuro 3, Mochizuki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shimabukuro
🤖 Servebot
Mochizuki
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sho Shimabukuro.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Nov 4, 2025
Matsuyama Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 31, 2022
Yokohama Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 6, 2019
Yokkaichi
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shimabukuro | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Sho Shimabukuro | Yuki Mochizuki | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 46% | 6/13 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shimabukuro | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–9 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 1.80 |
| ROI % | -58.3% | -26.4% |
| Units P/L | -7.58u | -3.43u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shimabukuro | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km | — |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shimabukuro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Mochizuki's 25%).
| Opponent | Shimabukuro | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| James Watt | W 36 63 64 | W 36 63 76 |
| Kasidit Samrej | W 63 64 | L 46 67 |
| Omar Jasika | W 63 57 76 | L 46 57 |
| Uisung Park | W 76 61 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Miomir Kecmanovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Anton Shepp
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
James Watt
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Arthur Rinderknech
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Miomir Kecmanovic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Chase Ferguson
M25 Sapporo · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Makoto Ochi
M25 Sapporo · 1st Round
Sep 8
Kasidit Samrej
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Chuan En Hsu
M25 Taipei · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Shih Chieh Lin
M25 Taipei · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Hiromasa Koyama
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 18
Fanming Meng
M15 Tianjin · 1st Round
Aug 12
Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Tianjin · Final
Aug 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–75 matches
| Metric | Shimabukuro | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 40% |
| Sets won | 56% | 41% |
| Games won | 52% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shimabukuro | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shimabukuro | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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