Sho Shimabukuro vs Yosuke WatanukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Sho Shimabukuro and Yosuke Watanuki have met 3 times since 2020; Yosuke Watanuki leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Bendigo Challenger in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Watanuki leads 2–1. Across all meetings Shimabukuro has taken 2 sets to Watanuki's 4. Their most recent meeting: Yosuke Watanuki won at Kobe (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shimabukuro | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sho Shimabukuro | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 29/43 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 11/29 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 25/72 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 21/41 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 15/23 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 38/44 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 29/44 | 63% | 10/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shimabukuro 1, Watanuki 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shimabukuro
🤖 Servebot
Watanuki
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Nov 17, 2022
Kobe
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 9, 2022
Nonthaburi 3 Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 13, 2020
Bendigo Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shimabukuro | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Sho Shimabukuro | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shimabukuro | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–9 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -58.3% | -39.4% |
| Units P/L | -7.58u | -2.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shimabukuro | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km | — |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shimabukuro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Watanuki's 50%).
| Opponent | Shimabukuro | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 63 64 | L 76 57 46 |
| Elias Ymer | W 63 63 | W 36 61 64 |
| Omar Jasika | W 63 57 76 | L 62 36 57 |
| Hugo Grenier | W 46 63 62 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Miomir Kecmanovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Anton Shepp
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
James Watt
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Arthur Rinderknech
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Miomir Kecmanovic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Semen Pankin
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Semen Pankin
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Andre Ilagan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
August Holmgren
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–74 matches
| Metric | Shimabukuro | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 56% |
| Sets won | 56% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shimabukuro | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shimabukuro | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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