Sho Shimabukuro vs Yosuke WatanukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Sho Shimabukuro and Yosuke Watanuki have met 3 times since 2020; Yosuke Watanuki leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Bendigo Challenger in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Watanuki leads 2–1. Across all meetings Shimabukuro has taken 2 sets to Watanuki's 4. Their most recent meeting: Yosuke Watanuki won at Kobe (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shimabukuro | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sho Shimabukuro | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 31/44 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 22/69 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 20/38 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 16/28 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 17/24 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 40/46 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 31/46 | 60% | 9/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shimabukuro 1, Watanuki 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shimabukuro
🤖 Servebot
Watanuki
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Nov 17, 2022
Kobe
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 9, 2022
Nonthaburi 3 Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 13, 2020
Bendigo Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shimabukuro | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Sho Shimabukuro | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shimabukuro | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.30 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | -19.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.48u | -1.58u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shimabukuro | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shimabukuro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Watanuki's 50%).
| Opponent | Shimabukuro | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Elias Ymer | W 63 63 | W 36 61 64 |
| Omar Jasika | W 63 57 76 | L 62 36 57 |
| Hugo Grenier | W 46 63 62 | W 76 63 |
| Rio Noguchi | W 64 63 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Miomir Kecmanovic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jaime Faria
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Frances Tiafoe
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Tallon Griekspoor
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Ben Shelton
Boss Open - Stuttgart · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Andre Ilagan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
August Holmgren
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jack Kennedy
Cary Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Tung-Lin Wu
Cary Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Andre Ilagan
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Vitaliy Sachko
Bratislava Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–70 matches
| Metric | Shimabukuro | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 52% |
| Sets won | 60% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shimabukuro | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shimabukuro | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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