Sergey Fomin vs Timofei DerepaskoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Sergey Fomin and Timofei Derepasko have met 1 time since 2025; Sergey Fomin leads 1–0. Across all meetings Fomin has taken 2 sets to Derepasko's 1. Their most recent meeting: Sergey Fomin won at M15 Manama 1 (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Wuning 3 Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 5 · 1:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.46 or shorter, Sergey Fomin has won 14 of 18 (78%). The price implied 69%, so Sergey Fomin has beaten it by 9 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Timofei Derepasko meets Sergey Fomin in the first round of the Wuning 3 Challenger on October 5, 2026, on hard court. Derepasko ranks 656th on the ATP list, while Fomin sits at 289th. This will be their second meeting after Fomin won their only prior encounter.
Fomin leads the head-to-head 1-0. On hard court recently, Fomin has posted a 55% record compared to Derepasko's 40%. Both players have faced Lleyton Richards in recent play, each securing a victory. Derepasko arrives with a two-match buffer since his last outing and won two of his last five matches. Fomin, however, has not played in 18 days and has won just three of his last ten matches, arriving in a five-match losing streak.
Derepasko operates as a counterpuncher who thrives on reaction and patience from the baseline. Fomin presents a more rounded game, mixing aggression with court movement and tactical variety. For Derepasko to compete, he will need to absorb pressure without overcommitting and capitalize on short balls. Fomin's task is simpler in form but harder in rhythm: he must establish his game early and avoid giving Derepasko rhythm through loose play on return.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fomin | Derepasko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sergey Fomin | Timofei Derepasko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 29/47 | 82% | 31/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 9/29 | 33% | 12/36 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 27/76 | 26% | 19/74 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 22/42 | 48% | 22/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 14/27 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 12/23 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 37/44 | 81% | 35/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 29/44 | 72% | 31/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fomin 0, Derepasko 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fomin
👑 The Complete Package
Derepasko
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,801 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sergey Fomin.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Nov 6, 2025
M15 Manama 1
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fomin | Derepasko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Sergey Fomin | Timofei Derepasko | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 69% | 11/16 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fomin | Derepasko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–7 | 10–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -63.9% | -26.2% |
| Units P/L | -5.75u | -4.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fomin | Derepasko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 753 mi · 1,212 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | VIE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Derepasko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Fomin's 33%).
| Opponent | Fomin | Derepasko |
|---|---|---|
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | L 36 16 | W 26 64 64 |
| Mikhail Kulyagin | W 62 61 | W 62 60 |
| Ivan Marrero Curbelo | L 26 26 | L 75 57 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Khumoun Sultanov
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Xirui Han
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Aziz Dougaz
Astana Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Masamichi Imamura
Astana Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Kasidit Samrej
Astana Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Maxim Zhukov
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Matic Dimic
M15 Telavi · 1st Round
Sep 28
Francesco Ferrari
M15 Telavi · 1st Round
Sep 23
Ilia Simakin
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Taisei Ichikawa
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Stefan Storch
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Cruz Hewitt
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Sam Ryan Ziegann
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Taiyo Yamanaka
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 74–76 matches
| Metric | Fomin | Derepasko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 51% |
| Sets won | 58% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fomin | Derepasko |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fomin | Derepasko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |