Seongchan Hong vs Yosuke WatanukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Seongchan Hong and Yosuke Watanuki have met 2 times since 2023; Yosuke Watanuki leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2023 on grass. Watanuki has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Hong has taken 0 sets to Watanuki's 4. Their most recent meeting: Yosuke Watanuki won at ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hong | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Seongchan Hong | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 4/4 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 1/5 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 11% | 1/9 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 2/3 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 1/4 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 3/4 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 4/5 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 4/5 | 63% | 10/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hong 0, Watanuki 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hong
🎾 All-Court
Watanuki
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 656 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 1, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 3, 2023
Wimbledon
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Hong | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Seongchan Hong | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hong | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -19.4% | -39.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.55u | -2.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Hong | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Keisuke Saitoh
M25 Sapporo · Semifinals
Sep 12
Hikaru Shiraishi
M25 Sapporo · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Kosuke Ogura
M25 Sapporo · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Yuichiro Inui
M25 Sapporo · 1st Round
Sep 9
Tristan Schoolkate
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Nikoloz Basilashvili
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Henrique Rocha
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Semen Pankin
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Semen Pankin
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Andre Ilagan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
August Holmgren
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 9–25 matches
| Metric | Hong | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 56% |
| Sets won | 47% | 56% |
| Games won | 48% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hong | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hong | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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