Semen Pankin vs Yosuke WatanukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Semen Pankin and Yosuke Watanuki have met 2 times since 2026; Yosuke Watanuki leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Zhangjiagang Challenger in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Watanuki leads 2–0. Watanuki has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Pankin has taken 0 sets to Watanuki's 4. Their most recent meeting: Yosuke Watanuki won at Jinan Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pankin | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Semen Pankin | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 42/59 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 12/30 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 29/89 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 36/65 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 11/19 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 10/22 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 51/59 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 42/59 | 63% | 10/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pankin 0, Watanuki 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pankin
👑 The Complete Package
Watanuki
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yosuke Watanuki.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 11, 2026
Jinan Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2026
Zhangjiagang Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pankin | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Semen Pankin | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pankin | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–11 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.32 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -59.7% | -39.4% |
| Units P/L | -9.55u | -2.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pankin | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Watanuki has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Pankin's 0%).
| Opponent | Pankin | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Marat Sharipov | L 57 46 | L 76 57 26 |
| Elias Ymer | L 75 57 36 | W 36 61 64 |
| Toby Samuel | L 26 16 | L 06 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yosuke Watanuki
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Marat Sharipov
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Alex Bolt
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Sheng Tang
M25 Yinchuan · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Yaojie Zeng
M25 Yinchuan · 1st Round
Sep 22
Elias Ymer
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Alexis Galarneau
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Yosuke Watanuki
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Semen Pankin
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Semen Pankin
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Andre Ilagan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
August Holmgren
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–89 matches
| Metric | Pankin | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 56% |
| Sets won | 63% | 56% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pankin | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pankin | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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