Sada Nahimana vs Valentina VargasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
๐ง๐ฎSada Nahimana
#269 ยท 25 yrs ยท Right-Handed
15w31 meeting ยท sets 2โ0
๐จ๐ดValentina Vargas
Unranked ยท 29 yrs
Sada Nahimana and Valentina Vargas have met 1 time since 2025; Sada Nahimana leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Nahimana has taken 2 sets to Vargas's 0. Their most recent meeting: Sada Nahimana won at Quito Open - Quito (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nahimana | Vargas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sada Nahimana | Valentina Vargas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 19/26 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 4/20 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 11/46 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 6/16 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 10/20 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 0% | 0/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 21/23 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 50% | 2/4 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nahimana 1, Vargas 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nahimana
๐ช Counterpuncher
Vargas
๐ Pusher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ช Counterpuncher archetype wins about 84% vs ๐ Pusher across 1,548 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sada Nahimana.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the pusher's extreme retrieval.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Dec 1, 2025
Quito Open - Quito
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Nahimana | Vargas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2โ3 |
| Avg odds | - | 7.67 |
| ROI % | - | -18.2% |
| Units P/L | - | -0.91u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nahimana | Vargas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 1 |
| Matches | โ | 1 |
| Distance | โ | โ |
| Route | โ | AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Vargas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Nahimana's 0%).
| Opponent | Nahimana | Vargas |
|---|---|---|
| Irene Burillo | L 61 36 46 | W 36 60 63 |
| Astrid Cirotte | L 26 36 | L 63 36 67 |
| Astrid Cirotte | L 26 36 | L 63 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Panna Udvardy
Grand Prix De SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem - Rabat ยท 2nd Round
May 20
Ajla Tomljanovic
Grand Prix De SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem - Rabat ยท 1st Round
May 19
Erika Andreeva
W75 Zagreb ยท Semifinals
May 16
Lisa Zaar
W75 Zagreb ยท Quarterfinals
May 15
Carol Young Suh Lee
W75 Zagreb ยท Round of 16
May 14
Manon Leonard
W75 Zagreb ยท Round of 32
May 13
Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
W35 Platja d'Aro ยท Final
May 10
Francesca Curmi
W35 Platja d'Aro ยท Semifinals
May 9
Yuliya Hatouka
W15 Logrono ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Luisa Maria Oprescu
W15 Logrono ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Celia Cervino Ruiz
Palma del Rio ITF
Jun 21
Carlota Corte
Madrid 2 ITF
Jun 7
Neus Torner Sensano
W15 Ontinyent ยท 1st Round
Jun 3
Sonia Cassani
Ontinyent ITF
Jun 2
Mireia Pons Lopez
Ontinyent ITF
Jun 1
Andrea Burguete Beltran
Oliva ITF
May 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 12โ46 matches
| Metric | Nahimana | Vargas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 17% |
| Sets won | 54% | 26% |
| Games won | 51% | 40% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nahimana | Vargas |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nahimana | Vargas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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