Ryuki Matsuda vs Yu TanakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ryuki Matsuda and Yu Tanaka have met 1 time since 2026; Yu Tanaka leads 1–0. Across all meetings Matsuda has taken 0 sets to Tanaka's 2. Their most recent meeting: Yu Tanaka won at M25 Sapporo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Matsuda | Tanaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ryuki Matsuda | Yu Tanaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 10/36 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 19/70 | 22% | 4/18 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 14/26 | 100% | 3/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 21/38 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 5/17 | 0% | 0/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 27/30 | 80% | 8/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 80% | 8/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Matsuda 0, Tanaka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Matsuda
🪃 Counterpuncher
Tanaka
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 708 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 9, 2026
M25 Sapporo
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Matsuda | Tanaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ryuki Matsuda | Yu Tanaka | ||
| 1 or more | 96% | 26/27 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 3 or more | 52% | 14/27 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 22% | 6/27 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/27 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/27 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/27 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Matsuda | Tanaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–8 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.32 | 2.57 |
| ROI % | +54.0% | +10.1% |
| Units P/L | +13.51u | +0.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Matsuda | Tanaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | VIE | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Matsuda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Tanaka's 33%).
| Opponent | Matsuda | Tanaka |
|---|---|---|
| Kuan-Huai Mao | W 62 63 | W 63 63 |
| Shunsuke Mitsui | W 62 64 | L 67 36 |
| Saki Tange | W 62 63 | L 63 67 810 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yuta Kikuchi
Wuning 3 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Sergey Betov
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Nino Ehrenschneider
M15 Luan · Semifinals
Oct 3
Kosuke Ogura
M15 Luan · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Reiya Komagata
M15 Luan · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Zichen Shao
M15 Luan · 1st Round
Sep 29
Moise Kouame
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Taiyo Yamanaka
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Keisuke Saitoh
M25 Sapporo · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Ryuki Matsuda
M25 Sapporo · 1st Round
Sep 9
Yuichiro Inui
M25 Sapporo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Kotaro Matsumura
M25 Sapporo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Makoto Ochi
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round
Sep 1
Naoki Tajima
M25 Urayasu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Kaede Katayama
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Shunsuke Mitsui
M15 Astana · 1st Round
Aug 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–70 matches
| Metric | Matsuda | Tanaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 50% |
| Sets won | 49% | 53% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Matsuda | Tanaka |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Matsuda | Tanaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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