Ryo Minakata vs Yuta TomidaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ryo Minakata and Yuta Tomida have met 3 times since 2026; Yuta Tomida leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at M15 Hinode 1 in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Tomida leads 3–0. Tomida has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Minakata has taken 2 sets to Tomida's 6. Their most recent meeting: Yuta Tomida won at M15 Wuning (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Minakata | Tomida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ryo Minakata | Yuta Tomida | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 10/12 | 79% | 26/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 24% | 6/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 8/28 | 22% | 13/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 1/3 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 2/6 | 46% | 12/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 90% | 27/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 87% | 26/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Minakata 0, Tomida 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minakata
⚙️ Grinder
Tomida
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 233 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 9, 2026
M15 Wuning
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 15, 2026
M15 Wuning
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 9, 2026
M15 Hinode 1
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minakata | Tomida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ryo Minakata | Yuta Tomida | ||
| 1 or more | 33% | 1/3 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minakata | Tomida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–2 | 9–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.84 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | -54.0% | +17.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.62u | +2.43u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tomida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Minakata's 50%).
| Opponent | Minakata | Tomida |
|---|---|---|
| Zhengyu Sun | L 46 67 | W 64 61 |
| Xirui Han | W 26 63 106 | W 62 62 |
| Shao Zhang | W | W 36 62 75 |
| Jumpei Yamasaki | L 16 36 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yuta Tomida
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
Sep 9
Lin Hao Yu
M15 Wuning · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 8
Shao Zhang
M15 Wuning · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Baoluo Zheng
M15 Wuning · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Zhengyu Sun
M15 Wuning · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 1
Yuan Cheng Yang
M15 Wuning · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Haoran Hu
M15 Wuning · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Zhenxiong Dong
M15 Maanshan · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Nino Ehrenschneider
M25 Luan · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Petr Bar Biryukov
M25 Luan · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Zhengyu Sun
M25 Luan · 1st Round
Oct 6
Taiyo Yamanaka
M15 Luan · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Xirui Han
M15 Luan · 1st Round
Sep 30
Jaesung Choe
M15 Wuning · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Chen Yu Lu
M15 Wuning · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Ryo Minakata
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
Sep 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–58 matches
| Metric | Minakata | Tomida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 57% |
| Sets won | 47% | 56% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minakata | Tomida |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minakata | Tomida |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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