Roman Safiullin vs Sho ShimabukuroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Almaty Open - Almaty
- Level
- ATP 250
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 20 ยท 2:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.16 or shorter, Roman Safiullin has won 13 of 17 (76%). The price implied 87%, so Roman Safiullin has fallen 11 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Roman Safiullin and Sho Shimabukuro meet next at the Almaty Open - Almaty on October 20 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Safiullin | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Roman Safiullin | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 22/36 | 68% | 28/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 6/14 | 36% | 10/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 20/50 | 33% | 23/69 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 16/32 | 54% | 21/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 10/15 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 65% | 15/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 28/30 | 86% | 37/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 22/30 | 65% | 28/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Safiullin
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Shimabukuro
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Safiullin and Shimabukuro have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Safiullin | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Roman Safiullin | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 3/17 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Safiullin | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ6 | 4โ9 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 2.31 |
| ROI % | -7.0% | -58.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | -7.58u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Safiullin | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 4 | 4 |
| Matches | 12 | 3 |
| Distance | 3,913 mi ยท 6,298 km | 4,835 mi ยท 7,781 km |
| Route | CHN โ KAZ | CHN โ JPN โ CHN โ KAZ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Safiullin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Shimabukuro's 63%).
| Opponent | Safiullin | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Ilia Simakin | W 76 61 | W 63 63 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 75 63 | W 64 64 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 62 63 | W 76 64 |
| Quentin Halys | W 57 63 64 | W 64 62 |
| Hugo Grenier | L 67 64 36 | W 46 63 62 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 36 | L 26 46 |
| Jaime Faria | W 46 64 76 | L 67 36 76 36 |
| Henrique Rocha | W 57 76 62 | L 57 63 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ilia Simakin
Almaty Open - Almaty ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Ilya Ivashka
Almaty Open - Almaty ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 17
Francisco Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Rinky Hijikata
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Alexis Galarneau
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Flavio Cobolli
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท 1st Round
Sep 24
Anton Shepp
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 ยท Rubber 4
Sep 20
James Watt
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 ยท Rubber 2
Sep 19
Arthur Rinderknech
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Miomir Kecmanovic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 23
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 57โ71 matches
| Metric | Safiullin | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 58% |
| Sets won | 62% | 56% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |

