Riku Takahata vs Toshiki KarigyoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Riku Takahata and Toshiki Karigyo have met 1 time since 2026; Riku Takahata leads 1–0. Across all meetings Takahata has taken 2 sets to Karigyo's 0. Their most recent meeting: Riku Takahata won at M15 Tokyo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Takahata | Karigyo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Riku Takahata | Toshiki Karigyo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 88% | 15/17 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 18% | 3/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 9/37 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 3/5 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 8/18 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 6/9 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 15/17 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 88% | 15/17 | 71% | 5/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Takahata 1, Karigyo 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Takahata
⚙️ Grinder
Karigyo
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🧱 The Wall is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 98 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 7, 2026
M15 Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Takahata | Karigyo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Riku Takahata | Toshiki Karigyo | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 100% | 2/2 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/2 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Takahata | Karigyo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.84 | 2.75 |
| ROI % | -44.9% | -28.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.14u | -0.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Karigyo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Takahata's 33%).
| Opponent | Takahata | Karigyo |
|---|---|---|
| Tokitaka Ito | W 64 26 1210 | W 64 75 |
| Eric Jr. Olivarez | L 26 36 | W 57 64 104 |
| Yuta Tomida | L 36 06 | L 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Chase Ferguson
M25 Sapporo · 1st Round
Sep 8
Takumi Katsuda
M25 Sapporo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Tokitaka Ito
M25 Sapporo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Noritaka Koizumi
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round
Sep 1
Masaki Ishikawa
M25 Urayasu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Kotaro Matsumura
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Ofek Shimanov
M15 Astana · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 4
Mikhail Khodorchenko
M15 Astana · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Ye Chen
M15 Tianjin · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Wen Bo Fan
M15 Tianjin · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 10
Charles Josshua Kinaadman
M15 Tianjin · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 9
Tsung-Hao Huang
M15 Tianjin · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Ku Keon Kang
M15 Tianjin · 1st Round
Aug 5
Eric Jr. Olivarez
M15 Tianjin · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 4
Emmanuel Valsamis
M15 Tianjin · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Luke Mcmillan
M15 Tianjin · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–37 matches
| Metric | Takahata | Karigyo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 37% |
| Sets won | 49% | 37% |
| Games won | 50% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Takahata | Karigyo |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Takahata | Karigyo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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