Renta Tokuda vs Shu MatsuokaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Renta Tokuda and Shu Matsuoka have met 1 time since 2026; Shu Matsuoka leads 1–0. Across all meetings Tokuda has taken 1 sets to Matsuoka's 2. Their most recent meeting: Shu Matsuoka won at M15 Tokyo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tokuda | Matsuoka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Renta Tokuda | Shu Matsuoka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 7/9 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 9/25 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 6/10 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 6/13 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 7/10 | 88% | 7/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 7/10 | 88% | 7/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tokuda 0, Matsuoka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tokuda
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matsuoka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 10, 2026
M15 Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tokuda | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–1 | 0–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.00 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | +42.3% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.27u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joshua Sheehy
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Millen Hurrion
Winnipeg Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Kenta Miyoshi
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Alexander Rozin
Granby Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Naoki Nakagawa
M15 Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Shunsuke Nakagawa
M15 Tokyo · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Ryota Tanuma
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jun 16
Shu Matsuoka
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jun 10
Michael Bassem Sobhy
M15 Columbia · 1st Round
Sep 23
Nathan Cox
M15 Columbia · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Alejandro Moreno
M15 Columbia · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Marko Mesarovic
M15 Champaign · 1st Round
Aug 25
Tyler Bowers
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 10
Hien Quang Hien Pham
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 6
Saki Tange
M15 Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Junnosuke Masuda
Futures 2026
Jun 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–25 matches
| Metric | Tokuda | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 36% | 43% |
| Sets won | 42% | 45% |
| Games won | 48% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tokuda | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tokuda | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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