Renta Tokuda vs Shu MatsuokaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Renta Tokuda and Shu Matsuoka have met 1 time since 2026; Shu Matsuoka leads 1–0. Across all meetings Tokuda has taken 1 sets to Matsuoka's 2. Their most recent meeting: Shu Matsuoka won at M15 Tokyo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tokuda | Matsuoka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Renta Tokuda | Shu Matsuoka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 94% | 17/18 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 10/35 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 74% | 14/19 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 5/13 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | 86% | 6/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tokuda 0, Matsuoka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tokuda
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matsuoka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 10, 2026
M15 Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tokuda | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.45 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | -38.5% | -21.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.54u | -1.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tokuda | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Rozin
Granby challenger
Jul 12
Shunsuke Nakagawa
M15 Tokyo · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Ryota Tanuma
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jun 16
Shu Matsuoka
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jun 10
Mark Lajal
Wuxi Challenger · 1st Round
May 4
Ognjen Milic
Jiujiang Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 27
Marat Sharipov
Gwangju Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 20
Woobin Shin
Gwangju Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 19
Marko Mesarovic
M15 Champaign · 1st Round
Aug 25
Saki Tange
Futures 2026
Jun 30
Junnosuke Masuda
Futures 2026
Jun 29
Yusuke Kusuhara
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jun 16
Naoya Honda
M15 Tokyo · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Renta Tokuda
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jun 10
Makoto Ochi
Futures 2026
Jun 8
Toshihide Matsui
Futures 2026
Jun 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 20–35 matches
| Metric | Tokuda | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 45% |
| Sets won | 56% | 46% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tokuda | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tokuda | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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