Renata Zarazua vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇲🇽Renata Zarazua
#71 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
31 meeting · sets 2–0
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#79 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
Renata Zarazua and Tatjana Maria have met 1 time since 2026; Renata Zarazua leads 1–0. Across all meetings Zarazua has taken 2 sets to Maria's 0. Their most recent meeting: Renata Zarazua won at The Memphis Classic - Memphis (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zarazua | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Renata Zarazua | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 23/40 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 6/25 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 23/65 | 13% | 8/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 15/35 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 9/24 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 32/35 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 23/35 | 85% | 29/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zarazua 1, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zarazua
🏹 Frontrunner
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 30, 2026
The Memphis Classic - Memphis
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zarazua | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Renata Zarazua | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 91% | 21/23 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 61% | 14/23 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 9% | 2/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zarazua | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–8 | 17–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.81 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | +10.2% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | +2.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zarazua | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 3 |
| Distance | 2,526 mi · 4,066 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | ECU → CAN → AUT | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zarazua has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Maria's 22%).
| Opponent | Zarazua | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | L 46 16 | L 26 57 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 64 60 | W 62 61 |
| Sloane Stephens | W 26 63 62 | L 61 67 46 |
| Iva Jovic | L 16 26 | L 16 26 |
| Marie Bouzkova | L 26 57 | L 57 06 |
| Petra Marcinko | W 16 64 63 | L 36 57 |
| Iryna Shymanovich | W 36 76 63 | W 76 62 |
| Hailey Baptiste | W 36 63 64 | L 57 26 |
| Emerson Jones | W 61 62 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Clara Tauson
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Tamara Korpatsch
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anastasia Zakharova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Darja Vidmanova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Semifinals
Aug 1
Tatjana Maria
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mccartney Kessler
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Caroline Dolehide
W100 Evansville · Semifinals
Jul 25
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–66 matches
| Metric | Zarazua | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 50% |
| Sets won | 56% | 52% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zarazua | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zarazua | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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