Renata Zarazua vs Sloane StephensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇲🇽Renata Zarazua
#71 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
34 meetings · sets 8–2
🇺🇸Sloane Stephens
#208 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
4Renata Zarazua and Sloane Stephens have met 4 times since 2020; Renata Zarazua leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Abierto Mexicano TELCEL - Acapulco in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Zarazua leads 3–0. Zarazua has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Zarazua has taken 8 sets to Stephens's 2. Their most recent meeting: Renata Zarazua won at W100 Evansville (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zarazua | Stephens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Renata Zarazua | Sloane Stephens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 23/40 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 6/25 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 23/65 | 28% | 7/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 15/35 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 9/24 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 32/35 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 23/35 | 56% | 5/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zarazua 2, Stephens 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zarazua
🏹 Frontrunner
Stephens
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 68% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 181 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Renata Zarazua.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 23, 2026
W100 Evansville
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 30, 2026
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 1st Round
Jan 5, 2026
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 25, 2020
Abierto Mexicano TELCEL - Acapulco
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zarazua | Stephens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Renata Zarazua | Sloane Stephens | ||
| 1 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zarazua | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–8 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.81 | 3.00 |
| ROI % | +10.2% | +8.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | +0.83u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zarazua | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 4 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 5 | 7 |
| Distance | 2,526 mi · 4,066 km | 1,730 mi · 2,784 km |
| Route | ECU → CAN → AUT | ECU → CAN → POL → ESP |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Stephens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Zarazua's 25%).
| Opponent | Zarazua | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Sinja Kraus | L 26 57 | W 75 63 |
| Darja Vidmanova | L 36 36 | L 26 46 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 64 64 | W 16 76 64 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | L 16 06 | W 64 57 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Clara Tauson
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Tamara Korpatsch
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anastasia Zakharova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Darja Vidmanova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Semifinals
Aug 1
Tatjana Maria
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mccartney Kessler
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Caroline Dolehide
W100 Evansville · Semifinals
Jul 25
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 25
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anastasia Potapova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Sinja Kraus
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Solana Sierra
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Darja Vidmanova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Yuliia Starodubtseva
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–66 matches
| Metric | Zarazua | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 28% |
| Sets won | 56% | 33% |
| Games won | 52% | 42% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zarazua | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ITF W100 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zarazua | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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