Ren Nakamura vs Taiyo YamanakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ren Nakamura and Taiyo Yamanaka have met 1 time since 2026; Taiyo Yamanaka leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nakamura has taken 0 sets to Yamanaka's 2. Their most recent meeting: Taiyo Yamanaka won at M15 Tokyo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakamura | Yamanaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ren Nakamura | Taiyo Yamanaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 40% | 2/5 | 63% | 15/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 0% | 0/10 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 3/15 | 38% | 19/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 2/3 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/10 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 1/1 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 2/4 | 56% | 15/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakamura 0, Yamanaka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakamura
⚙️ Grinder
Yamanaka
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
Both Ren Nakamura and Taiyo Yamanaka are ⚙️ Grinder types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 654 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 8, 2026
M15 Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakamura | Yamanaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ren Nakamura | Taiyo Yamanaka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 2/2 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakamura | Yamanaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 6.37 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | -75.0% | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.75u | -2.23u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakamura | Yamanaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TPE | KAZ → CHN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Yamanaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Nakamura's 0%).
| Opponent | Nakamura | Yamanaka |
|---|---|---|
| Joshua Charlton | L 36 36 | W 46 76 63 |
| Koki Matsuda | L 46 16 | L 36 76 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kristjan Tamm
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Keisuke Saitoh
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 22
Taiyo Yamanaka
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jul 8
Taketo Takamisawa
Futures 2026
Jul 7
Rin Kojima
Futures 2026
Jul 6
Ryota Tanuma
Futures 2026
Jun 30
Jonathan Irwanto
Futures 2026
Jun 29
Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras
M15 Villahermosa · Round of 32
Apr 29
Weiyi Kong
M15 Tianjin · 1st Round
Aug 11
Shunsuke Mitsui
M15 Astana · 2nd Round
Aug 7
Sergey Petrov
M15 Astana · 1st Round
Aug 6
Andrei Kunitsyn
M15 Astana · 1st Round
Jul 29
Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Hikaru Shiraishi
M15 Tokyo · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Ren Nakamura
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jul 8
Moerani Bouzige
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
Jun 30
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–51 matches
| Metric | Nakamura | Yamanaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 33% | 47% |
| Sets won | 30% | 48% |
| Games won | 44% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakamura | Yamanaka |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakamura | Yamanaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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