Ren Nakamura vs Ryuki MatsudaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ren Nakamura and Ryuki Matsuda have met 1 time since 2026; Ryuki Matsuda leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nakamura has taken 0 sets to Matsuda's 2. Their most recent meeting: Ryuki Matsuda won at M25 Taipei (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakamura | Matsuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ren Nakamura | Ryuki Matsuda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 6/10 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 6% | 1/18 | 28% | 10/36 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 18% | 5/28 | 27% | 19/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 2/2 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 12% | 2/17 | 55% | 21/38 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 2/4 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 9/10 | 90% | 27/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 6/10 | 83% | 25/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakamura 0, Matsuda 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakamura
🏃 Pusher
Matsuda
🪃 Counterpuncher
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 17, 2026
M25 Taipei
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakamura | Matsuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ren Nakamura | Ryuki Matsuda | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 2/4 | 96% | 26/27 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 52% | 14/27 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 22% | 6/27 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/27 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/27 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/27 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakamura | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 17–8 |
| Avg odds | 4.96 | 2.32 |
| ROI % | -51.0% | +54.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.08u | +13.51u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakamura | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | VIE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Matsuda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Nakamura's 33%).
| Opponent | Nakamura | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Taiyo Yamanaka | L 36 46 | W 64 64 |
| Aditya Kothari | W 60 60 | W 62 63 |
| Koki Matsuda | L 46 16 | L 26 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hanyi Liu
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Azuma Visaya
M15 Bali · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Kristjan Tamm
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Aniketh Venkataraman
M25 Taipei · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Ryuki Matsuda
M25 Taipei · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Aditya Kothari
M25 Taipei · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Corban Crowther
M15 Bali · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Diordan Macababbad
M15 Bali · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 26
Yuta Kikuchi
Wuning 3 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Sergey Betov
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Nino Ehrenschneider
M15 Luan · Semifinals
Oct 3
Kosuke Ogura
M15 Luan · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Reiya Komagata
M15 Luan · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Zichen Shao
M15 Luan · 1st Round
Sep 29
Moise Kouame
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Taiyo Yamanaka
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–70 matches
| Metric | Nakamura | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 36% | 49% |
| Sets won | 34% | 49% |
| Games won | 45% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakamura | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakamura | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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