Ren Nakamura vs Ryota TanumaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ren Nakamura and Ryota Tanuma have met 1 time since 2026; Ryota Tanuma leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nakamura has taken 0 sets to Tanuma's 2. Their most recent meeting: Ryota Tanuma won at Futures 2026 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakamura | Tanuma | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ren Nakamura | Ryota Tanuma | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 40% | 2/5 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 0% | 0/10 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 3/15 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 2/3 | 27% | 4/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/10 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 1/1 | 0% | 0/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 85% | 11/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 2/4 | 69% | 9/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakamura 0, Tanuma 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakamura
⚙️ Grinder
Tanuma
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🛡️ The Spoiler is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 173 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 30, 2026
Futures 2026
H Hard
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakamura | Tanuma | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ren Nakamura | Ryota Tanuma | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 2/2 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakamura | Tanuma |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 6.37 | 1.93 |
| ROI % | -75.0% | -15.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.75u | -1.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakamura | Tanuma |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TPE | TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakamura has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Tanuma's 67%).
| Opponent | Nakamura | Tanuma |
|---|---|---|
| Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras | W 61 60 | W 64 62 |
| Taketo Takamisawa | W 36 76 107 | L 57 46 |
| Jonathan Irwanto | W 75 46 105 | W 62 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kristjan Tamm
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Keisuke Saitoh
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 22
Taiyo Yamanaka
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jul 8
Taketo Takamisawa
Futures 2026
Jul 7
Rin Kojima
Futures 2026
Jul 6
Ryota Tanuma
Futures 2026
Jun 30
Jonathan Irwanto
Futures 2026
Jun 29
Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras
M15 Villahermosa · Round of 32
Apr 29
Kai-I Wang
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 25
Yuki Mochizuki
M15 Tokyo · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Shion Yamada
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jul 8
Shion Yamada
Futures 2026
Jul 8
Kazuma Kawachi
Futures 2026
Jul 7
Jonathan Irwanto
Futures 2026
Jul 6
Maximus Jones
M15 Tokyo · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Naoki Nakagawa
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jul 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–27 matches
| Metric | Nakamura | Tanuma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 33% | 44% |
| Sets won | 30% | 48% |
| Games won | 44% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakamura | Tanuma |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakamura | Tanuma |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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