Reilly Opelka and Sebastian Baez have met 1 time since 2025; Reilly Opelka leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Reilly Opelka won at Basel (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
Baez
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,477 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Reilly Opelka.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
1 career meeting, newest first
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Opelka | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.56 | 2.33 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -26.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -4.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Opelka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Baez's 25%).
| Opponent | Opelka | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Tomas Machac | W 76 67 63 | L 62 46 16 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 46 57 46 | L 16 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 63 57 16 | L 46 06 |
| Jack Draper | W 76 76 | L 26 26 12 |
| Ben Shelton | L 76 67 36 | W 75 63 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 64 63 64 | W 36 62 75 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 57 36 | L 36 67 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 76 67 63 | L 60 16 46 |
Last five matches per player
Federico Cina
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 8
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 12
Jack Draper
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 8
Ben Shelton
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 64
Mar 6
Nuno Borges
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 128
Mar 5
Ethan Quinn
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 128
Mar 4
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Australian Open · Round of 64
Jan 21
Alex Molcan
Unicredit Czech Open · Final
Jun 7
Maxim Mrva
Unicredit Czech Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Tristan Boyer
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 16
Jun 3
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Alex Michelsen
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 32
May 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 14
Roberto Carballes Baena
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 32
May 12
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–50 matches
| Metric | Opelka | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 46% |
| Sets won | 51% | 45% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Opelka | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Opelka | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
