Rebecca Marino vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇦Rebecca Marino
#417 · 35 yrs · Right-Handed
4w2 meetings · sets 2–2
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#79 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
Rebecca Marino and Tatjana Maria have met 2 times since 2018; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Quebec City in 2018 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Marino has taken 2 sets to Maria's 2. Their most recent meeting: Tatjana Maria won at Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marino | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Rebecca Marino | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 6/6 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 17% | 2/12 | 13% | 8/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 6/10 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 1/1 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 6/7 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 6/7 | 85% | 29/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marino 1, Maria 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marino
🤖 Servebot
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 10, 2025
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 12, 2018
Quebec City
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Marino | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Rebecca Marino | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 91% | 21/23 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 61% | 14/23 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 10 or more | 22% | 2/9 | 9% | 2/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marino | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 17–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -28.4% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.84u | +2.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Marino | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maria has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Marino's 50%).
| Opponent | Marino | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 57 46 | W 64 62 |
| Audrey Spencer | W 62 62 | W 61 67 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Kayla Cross
W75 Granby · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Kylie Collins
W75 Granby · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Mei Yamaguchi
W75 Granby · 1st Round
Jul 15
Julieta Pareja
W50 Columbus · Semifinals
Jul 11
Luciana Perry
W50 Columbus · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luciana Perry
Columbus ITF · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Audrey Spencer
W50 Columbus · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–60 matches
| Metric | Marino | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 50% |
| Sets won | 54% | 52% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marino | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marino | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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