Rebecca Marino vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇦Rebecca Marino
#621 · 35 yrs · Right-Handed
7w2 meetings · sets 2–2
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#71 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
4TitleRebecca Marino and Tatjana Maria have met 2 times since 2018; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Quebec City in 2018 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Marino has taken 2 sets to Maria's 2. Their most recent meeting: Tatjana Maria won at Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marino | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Rebecca Marino | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 6/6 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 1/6 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 8% | 1/12 | 17% | 10/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 5/8 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 1/4 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 1/1 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 6/6 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 6/6 | 83% | 30/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marino 1, Maria 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marino
🤖 Servebot
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 10, 2025
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 12, 2018
Quebec City
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Marino | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Rebecca Marino | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 1/4 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marino | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.39 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -54.4% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.72u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Marino | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Marino and Maria posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Marino | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Audrey Spencer | W 62 62 | W 61 67 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Pridankina
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Fiona Ferro
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Alina Charaeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Kayla Cross
W75 Granby · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Kylie Collins
W75 Granby · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Mei Yamaguchi
W75 Granby · 1st Round
Jul 15
Julieta Pareja
W50 Columbus · Semifinals
Jul 11
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton · Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–60 matches
| Metric | Marino | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 53% |
| Sets won | 52% | 55% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marino | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marino | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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