Qian Sun vs Yuta KikuchiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Qian Sun and Yuta Kikuchi have met 3 times since 2025; Yuta Kikuchi leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at M15 Wuning 3 in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Kikuchi leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Sun has taken 2 sets to Kikuchi's 4. Their most recent meeting: Qian Sun won at M15 Tianjin (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sun | Kikuchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Qian Sun | Yuta Kikuchi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 12/24 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 10/25 | 29% | 6/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 22/49 | 27% | 11/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 18% | 3/17 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 18/26 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 7/18 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 12/23 | 79% | 15/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sun 1, Kikuchi 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sun
💥 Big Hitter
Kikuchi
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 57% vs 🧱 The Wall across 374 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Qian Sun.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 4, 2026
M15 Tianjin
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 12, 2026
WUNING OPEN 2
? - · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 10, 2025
M15 Wuning 3
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sun | Kikuchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Qian Sun | Yuta Kikuchi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sun | Kikuchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.40 | 3.23 |
| ROI % | -8.6% | +17.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.38u | +1.55u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sun | Kikuchi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kikuchi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Sun's 29%).
| Opponent | Sun | Kikuchi |
|---|---|---|
| Kosuke Ogura | W 75 63 | W 76 63 |
| Hanlei Lu | L 36 67 | W 76 62 |
| Yuta Tomida | L 26 36 | W 67 63 64 |
| Noritaka Koizumi | L 26 26 | L 26 63 06 |
| Noritaka Koizumi | L 26 26 | L 26 63 06 |
| Yue Xia | W 64 76 | W 60 61 |
| Daniil Ostapenkov | L 67 46 | L 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hayato Matsuoka
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Nino Ehrenschneider
M25 Luan · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alibek Kachmazov
M25 Guiyang · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Lachlan Vickery
M25 Guiyang · 1st Round
Sep 16
Yuta Tomida
M15 Wuning · Final
Sep 6
Colin Sinclair
M15 Wuning · Semifinals
Sep 5
Miles Jones
M15 Wuning · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Hiromasa Koyama
M15 Wuning · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Ryuki Matsuda
Wuning 3 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Kosuke Ogura
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Bernard Tomic
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Tsung-Hao Huang
Guangzhou Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Mikalai Haliak
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Yunseong Chung
M25 Sapporo · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Sena Okabe
M25 Sapporo · 1st Round
Sep 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–49 matches
| Metric | Sun | Kikuchi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 49% |
| Sets won | 48% | 49% |
| Games won | 51% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sun | Kikuchi |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M15 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sun | Kikuchi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
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