Qian Sun vs Yuta KawahashiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Qian Sun and Yuta Kawahashi have met 1 time since 2026; Qian Sun leads 1–0. Across all meetings Sun has taken 2 sets to Kawahashi's 1. Their most recent meeting: Qian Sun won at M15 Tianjin (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sun | Kawahashi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Qian Sun | Yuta Kawahashi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 12/24 | 75% | 18/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 10/25 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 22/49 | 38% | 18/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 18% | 3/17 | 38% | 12/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 18/26 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 7/18 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 63% | 19/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 12/23 | 60% | 18/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sun 0, Kawahashi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sun
💥 Big Hitter
Kawahashi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 12, 2026
M15 Tianjin
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sun | Kawahashi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Qian Sun | Yuta Kawahashi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sun | Kawahashi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 1–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.40 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | -8.6% | -82.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.38u | -4.97u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kawahashi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Sun's 14%).
| Opponent | Sun | Kawahashi |
|---|---|---|
| Yuta Tomida | L 26 36 | L 26 26 |
| Fumin Jiang | L 36 63 26 | W 36 64 61 |
| Hanlei Lu | L 36 67 | W 63 36 64 |
| Noritaka Koizumi | L 26 26 | L |
| Xing Dao Chen | W 61 76 | W 16 75 62 |
| Noritaka Koizumi | L 26 26 | L 63 06 26 |
| Filip Peliwo | L 67 26 | L 46 60 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hayato Matsuoka
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Nino Ehrenschneider
M25 Luan · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alibek Kachmazov
M25 Guiyang · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Lachlan Vickery
M25 Guiyang · 1st Round
Sep 16
Yuta Tomida
M15 Wuning · Final
Sep 6
Colin Sinclair
M15 Wuning · Semifinals
Sep 5
Miles Jones
M15 Wuning · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Hiromasa Koyama
M15 Wuning · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Martin Borisiouk
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Sam Ryan Ziegann
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Abhishek Bastola
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Ryota Tanuma
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round
Sep 1
Qian Sun
M15 Tianjin · 1st Round
Aug 12
Sam Ryan Ziegann
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 28
Ryotaro Taguchi
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 21
Noritaka Koizumi
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
Jul 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–49 matches
| Metric | Sun | Kawahashi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 51% |
| Sets won | 48% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sun | Kawahashi |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sun | Kawahashi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.