Polina Leykina vs Sofia ShapatavaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Polina Leykina
#595 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
31 meeting · sets 2–0
🇬🇪Sofia Shapatava
#510 · 37 yrs · Right-Handed
4Polina Leykina and Sofia Shapatava have met 1 time since 2026; Polina Leykina leads 1–0. Across all meetings Leykina has taken 2 sets to Shapatava's 0. Their most recent meeting: Polina Leykina won at W35 Krakow (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Leykina | Shapatava | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Polina Leykina | Sofia Shapatava | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 90% | 19/21 | 77% | 24/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 22% | 4/18 | 32% | 11/34 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 15% | 6/39 | 28% | 18/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 80% | 12/15 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 4/5 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 81% | 25/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Leykina 1, Shapatava 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Leykina
🧱 The Wall
Shapatava
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 61% vs 🧱 The Wall across 2,566 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sofia Shapatava.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 19, 2026
W35 Krakow
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Leykina | Shapatava | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Polina Leykina | Sofia Shapatava | ||
| 1 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 44% | 7/16 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Leykina | Shapatava |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 8–10 |
| Avg odds | 3.42 | 3.27 |
| ROI % | -12.1% | -16.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.85u | -2.90u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Leykina | Shapatava |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | SUI → POL → CHN | GER → BIH → MNE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Wushuang Zheng
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 26
Xiao Tang
W15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Sep 23
Yidi Yang
W35 Shenyang · 1st Round
Sep 15
Yingqun Sun
W35 Shenyang · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Shuyang Xu
W35 Shenyang · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Dabin Kim
W15 Yeongwol · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Jeong In Choi
W15 Yeongwol · 1st Round
Sep 8
Radka Zelnickova
W35 Krakow · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Alessandra Mazzola
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alisa Oktiabreva
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 23
Laura Boehner
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 16
Angelica Raggi
W15 Viserba di Rimini · Quarterfinals
Sep 12
Chiara Fornasieri
W15 Viserba di Rimini · 2nd Round
Sep 11
Alja Senica
W15 Viserba di Rimini · 1st Round
Sep 9
Francesca Gandolfi
W15 Fiano Romano · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Daniela Vismane
W15 Fiano Romano · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–66 matches
| Metric | Leykina | Shapatava |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 47% |
| Sets won | 55% | 49% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Leykina | Shapatava |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Leykina | Shapatava |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.