Polina Kaibekova vs Valentina Mediorreal AriasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Polina Kaibekova
Unranked · 19 yrs
11w1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇨🇴Valentina Mediorreal Arias
#843 · 19 yrs · Right-Handed
5wPolina Kaibekova and Valentina Mediorreal Arias have met 1 time since 2026; Valentina Mediorreal Arias leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kaibekova has taken 0 sets to Arias's 2. Their most recent meeting: Valentina Mediorreal Arias won at W35 Pergamino (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kaibekova | Mediorreal Arias | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Polina Kaibekova | Valentina Mediorreal Arias | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 9/12 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 21% | 3/14 | 21% | 5/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 6/26 | 24% | 8/33 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 3/8 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 2/3 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 86% | 6/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kaibekova 0, Mediorreal Arias 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kaibekova
🛡️ The Spoiler
Arias
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🛡️ The Spoiler archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,007 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Polina Kaibekova.
The Spoiler players often use strong court coverage and strong retrieval to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 29, 2026
W35 Pergamino
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kaibekova | Arias | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Polina Kaibekova | Valentina Mediorreal Arias | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 1/1 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/1 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/1 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/1 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/1 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/1 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kaibekova | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–2 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.91 | 7.39 |
| ROI % | -65.7% | -57.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.97u | -4.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arias has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Kaibekova's 33%).
| Opponent | Kaibekova | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Herazo | L 26 26 | W 61 60 |
| Maria Carolina Ferreira Turchetto | W 61 60 | L 16 36 |
| Maria Camila Torres Murcia | L 26 26 | W 36 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Valentina Mediorreal Arias
W35 Pergamino · 1st Round
Jul 29
Melina Maria Maruca
W35 Pergamino · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 28
Lucia Grinberg
W35 Pergamino · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Maria Herazo
W75 Vacaria · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 21
Maria Carolina Ferreira Turchetto
W75 Vacaria · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Maria Camila Torres Murcia
W35 Sao Paulo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 14
Maria Luisa Oliveira
W35 Sao Paulo · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 13
Lan Mi
W15 Mbombela · 2nd Round
May 7
Anna Blinkova
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 1st Round
Sep 9
Ana Sofia Sanchez
W15 Porto Velho · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Gabriela Kawano Cho
W15 Porto Velho · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Romina Ccuno
W35 Barueri · 1st Round
Aug 26
Lourdes Ayala
W35 Chacabuco · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daria Egorova
W35 Pergamino · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Polina Kaibekova
W35 Pergamino · 1st Round
Jul 29
Maria Carolina Ferreira Turchetto
W35 Sao Paulo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 26–33 matches
| Metric | Kaibekova | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 27% |
| Sets won | 47% | 31% |
| Games won | 50% | 40% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kaibekova | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kaibekova | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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