Polina Kaibekova vs Valentina Mediorreal AriasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Polina Kaibekova
Unranked · 19 yrs
5w1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇨🇴Valentina Mediorreal Arias
#864 · 19 yrs · Right-Handed
3Polina Kaibekova and Valentina Mediorreal Arias have met 1 time since 2026; Valentina Mediorreal Arias leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kaibekova has taken 0 sets to Arias's 2. Their most recent meeting: Valentina Mediorreal Arias won at W35 Pergamino (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kaibekova | Mediorreal Arias | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Polina Kaibekova | Valentina Mediorreal Arias | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 3/5 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 2/10 | 20% | 5/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 4/15 | 23% | 8/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 29% | 2/7 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 5/6 | 88% | 7/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 88% | 7/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kaibekova 0, Mediorreal Arias 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kaibekova
🛡️ The Spoiler
Arias
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🛡️ The Spoiler archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 833 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Polina Kaibekova.
The Spoiler players often use strong court coverage and strong retrieval to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 29, 2026
W35 Pergamino
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kaibekova | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 3.62 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -58.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -4.06u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kaibekova | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | SRB |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Valentina Mediorreal Arias
W35 Pergamino · 1st Round
Jul 29
Lan Mi
W15 Mbombela · 2nd Round
May 7
Chane Steyn
W15 Mbombela · 1st Round
May 5
Tia Messerli
W15 Mbombela · 2nd Round
May 1
Dune Vaissaud
W15 Mbombela · Quarterfinals
May 1
Swasthika Arunkumar
W15 Mbombela · 1st Round
Apr 29
Valentina Khrebtova
W15 Pretoria · 1st Round
Apr 23
Defne Cirpanli
W15 Pretoria · 1st Round
Apr 15
Romina Ccuno
W35 Barueri · 1st Round
Aug 26
Lourdes Ayala
W35 Chacabuco · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daria Egorova
W35 Pergamino · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Polina Kaibekova
W35 Pergamino · 1st Round
Jul 29
Alicia Reichel
Sao Paulo 4 ITF
Jul 13
Ana Candiotto
W15 Rio Claro · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Manuela Ferreira Banietti
W15 Rio Claro · 1st Round
Jul 7
Chiara Di Genova
W15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Jun 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–35 matches
| Metric | Kaibekova | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 33% | 29% |
| Sets won | 35% | 32% |
| Games won | 47% | 41% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kaibekova | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kaibekova | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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