Polina Kaibekova vs Tia MesserliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Polina Kaibekova and Tia Messerli have met 1 time since 2026; Polina Kaibekova leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kaibekova has taken 2 sets to Messerli's 0. Their most recent meeting: Polina Kaibekova won at W15 Mbombela (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kaibekova | Messerli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Polina Kaibekova | Tia Messerli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 3/5 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 2/10 | 11% | 1/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 4/15 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 29% | 2/7 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 5/6 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 75% | 3/4 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kaibekova 1, Messerli 0).
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 1, 2026
W15 Mbombela
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kaibekova | Messerli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 5.10 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -21.6% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -1.08u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Valentina Mediorreal Arias
W35 Pergamino · 1st Round
Jul 29
Lan Mi
W15 Mbombela · 2nd Round
May 7
Chane Steyn
W15 Mbombela · 1st Round
May 5
Tia Messerli
W15 Mbombela · 2nd Round
May 1
Dune Vaissaud
W15 Mbombela · Quarterfinals
May 1
Swasthika Arunkumar
W15 Mbombela · 1st Round
Apr 29
Valentina Khrebtova
W15 Pretoria · 1st Round
Apr 23
Defne Cirpanli
W15 Pretoria · 1st Round
Apr 15
Avery Nguyen
W15 Claremont · 1st Round
Jun 24
Monika Ekstrand
W15 Irvine · 1st Round
Jun 17
Monika Ekstrand
W15 Los Angeles · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Klara Kosan
W15 Los Angeles · 1st Round
Jun 10
Thara Gowda
W15 Lakewood · 1st Round
Jun 3
Darja Suvirdjonkova
W15 Gaborone · 2nd Round
May 14
Kuzivaishe Chapepa
W15 Gaborone · 1st Round
May 12
Maayan Laron
W15 Mbombela · 2nd Round
May 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–15 matches
| Metric | Kaibekova | Messerli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 33% | 36% |
| Sets won | 35% | 35% |
| Games won | 47% | 43% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kaibekova | Messerli |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kaibekova | Messerli |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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