Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Rodrigo LealPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Pavlos Tsitsipas and Rodrigo Leal have met 1 time since 2026; Pavlos Tsitsipas leads 1–0. Across all meetings Tsitsipas has taken 2 sets to Leal's 0. Their most recent meeting: Pavlos Tsitsipas won at M15 Castelo Branco (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tsitsipas | Leal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pavlos Tsitsipas | Rodrigo Leal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 10/15 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins a set when losing | 34% | 10/29 | 0% | 0/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 15/44 | 0% | 0/9 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 3/6 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 17/33 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 10/25 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 10/16 | 100% | 2/2 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tsitsipas 1, Leal 0).
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 16, 2026
M15 Castelo Branco
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tsitsipas | Leal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Pavlos Tsitsipas | Rodrigo Leal | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 3 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 11/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Leal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–10 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 3.51 | 3.75 |
| ROI % | +28.8% | -29.8% |
| Units P/L | +6.05u | -1.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Leal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 1 |
| Matches | 9 | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ESP → FIN → POR → AUT | POR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Leal has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Tsitsipas's 50%).
| Opponent | Tsitsipas | Leal |
|---|---|---|
| James McGloughlin | W 63 64 | W 63 64 |
| Matisse Bobichon | L 36 36 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Giovanni Oradini
M15 Vienna · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Jonas Gundacker
M15 Vienna · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Matyas Kozlovsky
M15 Vienna · 1st Round
Aug 26
Alberto Barroso Campos
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Dino Molokova Ferreira
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 19
Arda Azkara
M15 Turku · 1st Round
Aug 11
Benjamin Pietri
M25+H Tauste · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Noah Lopez Cherubino
M25+H Tauste · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Tiago Pereira
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 12
Pavlos Tsitsipas
M15 Castelo Branco · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Salvador Monteiro
M15 Castelo Branco · 1st Round
Jul 15
Carl Emil Overbeck
M25 Figueira da Foz · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Joao Portugal
M25 Figueira da Foz · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tiago Pereira
M25 Loule · 2nd Round
May 7
Matisse Bobichon
M25 Loule · 1st Round
May 6
Patrick Schoen
M25 Quinta do Lago · 1st Round
Apr 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 9–44 matches
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Leal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 34% | 22% |
| Sets won | 39% | 22% |
| Games won | 46% | 39% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tsitsipas | Leal |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tsitsipas | Leal |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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