Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Rodrigo LealPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Pavlos Tsitsipas and Rodrigo Leal have met 1 time since 2026; Pavlos Tsitsipas leads 1–0. Across all meetings Tsitsipas has taken 2 sets to Leal's 0. Their most recent meeting: Pavlos Tsitsipas won at M15 Castelo Branco (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tsitsipas | Leal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pavlos Tsitsipas | Rodrigo Leal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 11/29 | 0% | 0/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 20/47 | 16% | 3/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 3/10 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 19/35 | 10% | 1/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 13/30 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 9/17 | 63% | 5/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tsitsipas 1, Leal 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tsitsipas
⚙️ Grinder
Leal
🏃 Pusher
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 16, 2026
M15 Castelo Branco
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Leal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–10 | 0–3 |
| Avg odds | 3.28 | 6.59 |
| ROI % | +18.5% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +3.33u | -3.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Leal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | BUL | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tsitsipas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Leal's 50%).
| Opponent | Tsitsipas | Leal |
|---|---|---|
| Erik Johansson | W 64 46 1816 | W 64 62 |
| Tiago Pereira | W 67 75 76 | L 57 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Erik Johansson
M15 Heraklion · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Nikita Bilozertsev
M15 Heraklion · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Nicholas Campbell
M15 Heraklion · 1st Round
Oct 7
Nikita Mashtakov
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Tiago Pereira
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Robert Strombachs
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Niccolo Catini
M25 Pozzuoli · 1st Round
Sep 8
Giovanni Oradini
M15 Vienna · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Jake Fellows
M25 Setubal · 1st Round
Sep 23
Fausto Tabacco
M25 Sintra · 1st Round
Sep 8
Tiago Pereira
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 12
Pavlos Tsitsipas
M15 Castelo Branco · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Salvador Monteiro
M15 Castelo Branco · 1st Round
Jul 15
Joao Mendes
M15 Castelo Branco · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 13
Martim Bernardo
M15 Castelo Branco · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Carl Emil Overbeck
M25 Figueira da Foz · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–47 matches
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Leal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 42% |
| Sets won | 41% | 39% |
| Games won | 46% | 45% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tsitsipas | Leal |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tsitsipas | Leal |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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