Pavel Lagutin vs Rodrigo FernandesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Pavel Lagutin and Rodrigo Fernandes have met 2 times since 2026; Pavel Lagutin leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M25 Idanha-a-Nova in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Lagutin leads 2–0. Lagutin has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Lagutin has taken 4 sets to Fernandes's 0. Their most recent meeting: Pavel Lagutin won at M25 Idanha-a-Nova (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lagutin | Fernandes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pavel Lagutin | Rodrigo Fernandes | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 38/44 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 14/64 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 76% | 29/38 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 9/15 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 41/45 | 100% | 9/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 84% | 38/45 | 67% | 6/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lagutin 2, Fernandes 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lagutin
⚔️ The Gladiator
Fernandes
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Rodrigo Fernandes.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 22, 2026
M25 Idanha-a-Nova
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 12, 2026
M25 Idanha-a-Nova
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lagutin | Fernandes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Pavel Lagutin | Rodrigo Fernandes | ||
| 1 or more | 57% | 16/28 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lagutin | Fernandes |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 22–4 | 3–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.53 | 3.52 |
| ROI % | +20.0% | +92.4% |
| Units P/L | +5.20u | +4.62u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lagutin | Fernandes |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 862 mi · 1,388 km | — |
| Route | ITA → BUL | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fernandes has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Lagutin's 67%).
| Opponent | Lagutin | Fernandes |
|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Parisca | W 63 60 | W 64 61 |
| Philip Henning | L 16 26 | W 36 63 64 |
| Rafael Izquierdo Luque | W | W 63 36 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ignacio Parisca
San Gregorio di Catania Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Iliyan Radulov
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Svyatoslav Gulin
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Rares Teodor Pieleanu
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Alejandro Moro Canas
Biella Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Enrico Dalla Valle
Biella Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Maximilian Marterer
Biella Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Matthieu Rohrich
Biella Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Pavel Lagutin
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · Semifinals
Aug 22
Philip Henning
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Izan Almazan Valiente
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Tomas Quesada Perez
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 19
Pavel Lagutin
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 12
Pablo Perez Ramos
M15 Castelo Branco · 1st Round
Jul 15
Patrick Schoen
M25 Figueira da Foz · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Fabrizio Andaloro
M25 Figueira da Foz · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–64 matches
| Metric | Lagutin | Fernandes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 58% |
| Sets won | 68% | 53% |
| Games won | 58% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lagutin | Fernandes |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lagutin | Fernandes |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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