Pavel Kotov vs Yosuke WatanukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Pavel Kotov and Yosuke Watanuki have met 3 times since 2023; Yosuke Watanuki leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid in 2023 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Kotov has taken 4 sets to Watanuki's 4. Their most recent meeting: Pavel Kotov won at Dubai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kotov | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pavel Kotov | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 15/25 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 6/12 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 16/37 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 11/25 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 6/10 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 10/15 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 15/23 | 60% | 9/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kotov 1, Watanuki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kotov
💥 Big Hitter
Watanuki
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Pavel Kotov and Yosuke Watanuki are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 22, 2025
Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 3, 2024
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 25, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kotov | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–2 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -63.0% | -19.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.89u | -1.58u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kotov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Watanuki's 0%).
| Opponent | Kotov | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| August Holmgren | W 64 76 | L 76 46 57 |
| Cezar Cretu | L 61 16 26 | L 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniel Elahi Galan
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Franco Ribero
Royan Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Marco Trungelliti
Lyon Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 9
Guy Den Ouden
Bad Rappenau Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 1
Cezar Cretu
Chisinau Challenger · 2nd Round
May 28
Gauthier Onclin
Chisinau Challenger · 1st Round
May 26
Mikhail Kukushkin
Gwangju Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 21
Yi Zhou
Renault Busan Open Tennis Championships · Round of 32
Apr 14
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Andre Ilagan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
August Holmgren
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jack Kennedy
Cary Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Tung-Lin Wu
Cary Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Andre Ilagan
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Vitaliy Sachko
Bratislava Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–37 matches
| Metric | Kotov | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 52% |
| Sets won | 62% | 53% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kotov | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kotov | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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