Pavel Kotov vs Vit KoprivaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Pavel Kotov and Vit Kopriva have met 1 time since 2023; Vit Kopriva leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kotov has taken 0 sets to Kopriva's 2. Their most recent meeting: Vit Kopriva won at Manama Challenger (2023).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Jinan Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 12 · 10:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.43 or shorter, Pavel Kotov has won 48 of 65 (74%). That is level with the 72% the price implied.
At 2.63 or longer, Vit Kopriva has won 20 of 62 (32%). The price implied 28%, so Vit Kopriva has beaten it by 4 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Pavel Kotov faces Vit Kopriva in the first round of the Jinan Challenger on October 12, a hard court event that will test two very different games. Kotov, ranked 187, arrives with recent momentum; Kopriva sits at 68 but has struggled badly in the past two weeks.
Kopriva leads their head-to-head 1-0 from a single meeting. The recent gap is stark: Kotov has won 7 of his last 10 matches, including 3 of 5 most recently, while Kopriva has won just 3 of 10 and only 1 of 5. Both players defeated Gauthier Onclin and Alexis Galarneau on hard courts recently, but Kotov's consistency contrasts with Kopriva's current 3-match losing streak.
Kotov plays an aggressive serve-heavy game built to dominate on hard courts; he has posted a 70% win rate on the surface in recent play. Kopriva grinds from the baseline and works points longer, but has won only 40% of his hard court matches lately. The match will hinge on whether Kopriva can find his rhythm and break Kotov's serving patterns, or whether Kotov's first-strike tennis and hot streak prove too much to handle.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kotov | Kopriva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pavel Kotov | Vit Kopriva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 18/32 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 5/12 | 42% | 13/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 19/44 | 32% | 18/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 13/29 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 10/13 | 64% | 23/36 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 76% | 19/25 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 77% | 24/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 18/27 | 68% | 21/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kotov 0, Kopriva 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kotov
🤖 Servebot
Kopriva
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Pavel Kotov.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 13, 2023
Manama Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kotov | Kopriva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Pavel Kotov | Vit Kopriva | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 5 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 19% | 3/16 | 18% | 2/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kotov | Kopriva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 3–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 2.60 |
| ROI % | +24.1% | -57.5% |
| Units P/L | +3.86u | -6.32u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kotov | Kopriva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 11 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Kotov and Kopriva posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Kotov | Kopriva |
|---|---|---|
| Alexis Galarneau | W 36 61 61 | W 64 64 |
| Gauthier Onclin | W 61 36 64 | W 64 64 |
| Luca Van Assche | L | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Tallon Griekspoor
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Aleksandar Vukic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Martin Damm
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Shintaro Mochizuki
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Luca Castelnuovo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Guangzhou Challenger · Final
Sep 20
Bernard Tomic
Guangzhou Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Zizou Bergs
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Jia Hu
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Gauthier Onclin
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–63 matches
| Metric | Kotov | Kopriva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 44% |
| Sets won | 64% | 47% |
| Games won | 53% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kotov | Kopriva |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kotov | Kopriva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |