Patricio Alvarado vs Quinn VandecasteelePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Patricio Alvarado and Quinn Vandecasteele have met 1 time since 2026; Quinn Vandecasteele leads 1–0. Across all meetings Alvarado has taken 0 sets to Vandecasteele's 2. Their most recent meeting: Quinn Vandecasteele won at Brownsburg Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alvarado | Vandecasteele | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Patricio Alvarado | Quinn Vandecasteele | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 3/4 | 79% | 33/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 5/15 | 41% | 14/34 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 6/19 | 30% | 23/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/2 | 53% | 23/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 11% | 1/9 | 67% | 18/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 2/4 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 43% | 3/7 | 82% | 36/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 43% | 3/7 | 75% | 33/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alvarado 0, Vandecasteele 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alvarado
⚙️ Grinder
Vandecasteele
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Quinn Vandecasteele.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 9, 2026
Brownsburg Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alvarado | Vandecasteele | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Patricio Alvarado | Quinn Vandecasteele | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alvarado | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–3 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 5.12 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -14.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.00u | -2.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alvarado | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km |
| Route | — | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Alvarado and Vandecasteele posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Alvarado | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Rivadeneira | W 60 64 | W 63 64 |
| Miguel Tobon | L 26 36 | L 62 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Victor Bini
M15 Quito · 1st Round
Oct 7
Sean Daryabeigi
M15 Columbia · 1st Round
Sep 23
Neo Niedner
M15 Columbia · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Carel Aubriel Ngounoue
M15 Columbia · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Quinn Vandecasteele
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 9
Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
M15 Huamantla · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Mario Andre Galarraga
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 21
Tomas Martinez
Quito Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 28
Daniil Ostapenkov
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Preston Stearns
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Daniil Ostapenkov
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Bryce Nakashima
Tiburon Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Noah Zamora
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Li Tu
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–76 matches
| Metric | Alvarado | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 21% | 55% |
| Sets won | 30% | 56% |
| Games won | 43% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alvarado | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alvarado | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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