Orlando Luz vs Pedro SakamotoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Orlando Luz and Pedro Sakamoto have met 4 times since 2016; Pedro Sakamoto leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Buenos Aires 2 in 2016 on clay. On clay courts Sakamoto leads 3–1. Across all meetings Luz has taken 3 sets to Sakamoto's 7. Their most recent meeting: Pedro Sakamoto won at Florianopolis Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Luz | Sakamoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Orlando Luz | Pedro Sakamoto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 4/5 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 1/6 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 18% | 2/11 | 32% | 19/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 2/2 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 2/3 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 84% | 32/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Luz 0, Sakamoto 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Luz
🎯 Baseliner
Sakamoto
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 979 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Orlando Luz.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Nov 20, 2025
Florianopolis Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 28, 2024
Sao Leopoldo Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Nov 5, 2019
Montevideo
C Clay · Round of 64
Oct 1, 2016
Buenos Aires 2
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Luz | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–1 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 7.39 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | +240.7% | -0.8% |
| Units P/L | +7.22u | -0.11u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Luz | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Luz and Sakamoto posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Luz | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Henrique Rocha | L 36 26 | L 62 36 36 |
| Natan Rodrigues | W 63 63 | W 63 64 |
| Daniel Rebelo | W 76 60 | W 61 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Clement Tabur
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 18
Norbert Gombos
Braunschweig Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 6
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Braunschweig Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 5
Gauthier Onclin
BOSS OPEN · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 6
Henrique Rocha
BCI Seguros Chile Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 21
Pedro Sakamoto
Florianopolis Challenger · 2nd Round
Nov 20
Guido Ivan Justo
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Eduardo Ribeiro
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Santiago De La Fuente
Curitiba Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Mateus Alves
M15 Curitiba · Final
Sep 27
Nicolas Zanellato
M15 Curitiba · Semifinals
Sep 26
Juan Sebastian Osorio
M15 Curitiba · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
M15 Curitiba · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 11–59 matches
| Metric | Luz | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 61% |
| Sets won | 46% | 59% |
| Games won | 47% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Luz | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Luz | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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