Noah Johnston vs Tristan McCormickPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Noah Johnston and Tristan McCormick have met 1 time since 2026; Tristan McCormick leads 1–0. Across all meetings Johnston has taken 0 sets to McCormick's 2. Their most recent meeting: Tristan McCormick won at M15 Rochester (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Johnston | McCormick | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Noah Johnston | Tristan McCormick | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 3/6 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 1/8 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 4/14 | 48% | 24/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 3/7 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 2/7 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 3/4 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Johnston 0, McCormick 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Johnston
⚔️ The Gladiator
McCormick
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,349 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tristan McCormick.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 15, 2026
M15 Rochester
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Johnston | McCormick |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 17–12 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 2.02 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -2.6% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -0.75u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
McCormick has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Johnston's 33%).
| Opponent | Johnston | McCormick |
|---|---|---|
| Ethan Muza | W 61 62 | W 67 64 76 |
| Noah Zamora | L 57 62 46 | W 63 64 |
| Maxwell Exsted | L 06 16 | L 57 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jelani Sarr
M25 Edwardsville · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 28
Ethan Muza
M25 Edwardsville · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Tristan McCormick
M15 Rochester · 1st Round
Jul 15
Noah Zamora
M15 Rancho Santa Fe · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Jacob Brumm
M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Hugo Hashimoto
M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 1st Round
Jul 8
Noah Zamora
M15 San Diego · 1st Round
Jun 30
Ozan Baris
M15 Lakewood · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Lucas Andrade Da Silva
M15 Quito · Final
Oct 11
Victor Bini
M15 Quito · Semifinals
Oct 10
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
M15 Quito · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez
M15 Quito · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Tyler Mercier
M15 Quito · 1st Round
Oct 7
Garrett Johns
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 21
Marcello Serafini
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 14
Xavi Palomar
M25 Gijon · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–50 matches
| Metric | Johnston | McCormick |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 48% |
| Sets won | 41% | 52% |
| Games won | 45% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Johnston | McCormick |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Johnston | McCormick |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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