Nikola Bartunkova vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฟNikola Bartunkova
#29 ยท 20 yrs ยท Right-Handed
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ1

๐ฉ๐ชTatjana Maria
#71 ยท 38 yrs ยท Right-Handed
4TitleNikola Bartunkova and Tatjana Maria have met 1 time since 2026; Nikola Bartunkova leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Bartunkova has taken 2 sets to Maria's 1. Their most recent meeting: Nikola Bartunkova won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bartunkova | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Nikola Bartunkova | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 21/38 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 12/24 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 29/62 | 17% | 10/60 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 14/35 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 18/27 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 30% | 6/20 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 32/41 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 51% | 21/41 | 83% | 30/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bartunkova 0, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bartunkova
๐ค Servebot
Maria
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 3, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bartunkova | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Nikola Bartunkova | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 53% | 10/19 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Bartunkova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13โ6 | 8โ5 |
| Avg odds | 2.11 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | +27.1% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | +5.15u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bartunkova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | ROU | TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Bartunkova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Maria's 10%).
| Opponent | Bartunkova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Townsend | L 16 46 | L 76 36 26 |
| Elise Mertens | L 61 46 26 | L 57 06 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 67 36 | L 26 06 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 62 67 63 | L 26 57 |
| Katie Volynets | W 64 75 | W 62 64 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 16 64 | L 57 46 |
| Katarzyna Kawa | W 64 26 63 | L 36 36 |
| Emerson Jones | W 62 62 | L 36 36 |
| Kimberly Birrell | L 61 16 36 | L 46 63 57 |
| Tatiana Prozorova | L 16 26 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing ยท Semifinals
Oct 10
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing ยท 4th Round
Oct 6
Aryna Sabalenka
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 4
Magdalena Frech
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 5
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mayar Sherif
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton ยท Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton ยท 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara ยท 1st Round
Sep 14
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 60โ62 matches
| Metric | Bartunkova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 53% |
| Sets won | 58% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bartunkova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bartunkova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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