Nikita Mashtakov vs Pavlos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Plovdiv 4 Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- September 21 · 2:30 AM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 6.23 or longer, Pavlos Tsitsipas has won 3 of 21 (14%). The price implied 10%, so Pavlos Tsitsipas has beaten it by 4 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Nikita Mashtakov and Pavlos Tsitsipas meet next at the Plovdiv 4 Challenger on September 21 on clay.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mashtakov | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Nikita Mashtakov | Pavlos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 21/31 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 2/15 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/46 | 41% | 19/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 14/20 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 15/26 | 56% | 19/34 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 12/18 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 27/29 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 53% | 9/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mashtakov
🪃 Counterpuncher
Tsitsipas
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,879 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Mashtakov and Tsitsipas have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mashtakov | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Nikita Mashtakov | Pavlos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 96% | 21/22 |
| 3 or more | 18% | 3/17 | 77% | 17/22 |
| 5 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 55% | 12/22 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 14% | 3/22 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mashtakov | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–5 | 13–11 |
| Avg odds | 1.91 | 3.41 |
| ROI % | +20.4% | +60.4% |
| Units P/L | +4.07u | +14.50u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mashtakov | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 5 | 3 |
| Matches | 12 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | AUT → POL → BUL → POL → BUL | AUT → POL → BUL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mashtakov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Tsitsipas's 67%).
| Opponent | Mashtakov | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Kirill Kivattsev | W 67 76 62 | W 64 63 |
| Thilo Behrmann | W 26 63 64 | W 46 62 106 |
| Petros Tsitsipas | W 63 63 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Weis
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Filip Pieczonka
Szczecin Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Juan Manuel La Serna
Plovdiv 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Stefan Popovic
Plovdiv 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Jannik Opitz
Plovdiv 3 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Valentin Basel
Plovdiv 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Daniel Michalski
M25 Poznan · Semifinals
Aug 29
Tiago Pereira
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Robert Strombachs
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Niccolo Catini
M25 Pozzuoli · 1st Round
Sep 8
Giovanni Oradini
M15 Vienna · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Jonas Gundacker
M15 Vienna · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Matyas Kozlovsky
M15 Vienna · 1st Round
Aug 26
Alberto Barroso Campos
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Dino Molokova Ferreira
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–46 matches
| Metric | Mashtakov | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 37% |
| Sets won | 62% | 41% |
| Games won | 54% | 46% |