Nicolas Tepmahc vs Oskari PaldaniusPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Nicolas Tepmahc and Oskari Paldanius have met 1 time since 2026; Oskari Paldanius leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Oskari Paldanius won at Cassis Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tepmahc | Paldanius | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Nicolas Tepmahc | Oskari Paldanius | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 36/47 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 19/76 | 45% | 17/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 29/50 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 40% | 8/20 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 12/26 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 98% | 41/42 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 36/42 | 50% | 9/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tepmahc
⚔️ The Gladiator
Paldanius
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Oskari Paldanius.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 6, 2026
Cassis Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tepmahc | Paldanius | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Nicolas Tepmahc | Oskari Paldanius | ||
| 1 or more | 33% | 1/3 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tepmahc | Paldanius |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–5 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 3.29 | 2.02 |
| ROI % | -70.5% | -4.4% |
| Units P/L | -4.23u | -0.66u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paldanius has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Tepmahc's 50%).
| Opponent | Tepmahc | Paldanius |
|---|---|---|
| Ivan Marrero Curbelo | L 57 36 | W |
| Jonas Hahn | W 62 64 | W 60 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ugo Blanchet
Roanne Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Oskari Paldanius
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Matisse Bobichon
M25+H Bagneres-de-Bigorre · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Filip Peliwo
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Rhys Lawlor
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Sergio Callejon Hernando
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Pavel Lagutin
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Theo Herrmann
M15 Kayseri · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Rihards Neimanis
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Oct 7
Maxime Janvier
Cassis Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Nicolas Tepmahc
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Maximus Jones
Manacor Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 1
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Peter Makk
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Amit Vales
M15 Turku · Final
Aug 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–77 matches
| Metric | Tepmahc | Paldanius |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 42% |
| Sets won | 60% | 45% |
| Games won | 54% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tepmahc | Paldanius |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tepmahc | Paldanius |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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