Niccolo Catini vs Nicolas Esteban Rico AriasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Niccolo Catini
#878 · 28 yrs · R
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇨🇴Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias
#1558 · 25 yrs · R
6wNiccolo Catini and Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias have met 1 time since 2026; Niccolo Catini leads 1–0. Across all meetings Catini has taken 2 sets to Arias's 0. Their most recent meeting: Niccolo Catini won at M15 Huamantla 2 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Catini | Esteban Rico Arias | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Niccolo Catini | Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 13/17 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 5/22 | 10% | 1/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 9/39 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 3/5 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 8/17 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 7/10 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 13/20 | 50% | 2/4 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Catini 1, Esteban Rico Arias 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Catini
⚔️ The Gladiator
Arias
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 646 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 4, 2026
M15 Huamantla 2
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Catini | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–3 | - |
| Avg odds | 3.27 | - |
| ROI % | +55.4% | - |
| Units P/L | +3.88u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Catini | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ITA → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Catini and Arias posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Catini | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Gioele Cerelli | W 64 62 | L 16 06 |
| Nicolas Hollender | L 36 14 | W 63 26 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Michael Savano
M25 Poznan · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Tiago Pereira
M25 Poznan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Alexander Weis
M25 Lesa · 1st Round
Aug 18
Leonardo Primucci
M25 Fano · Quarterfinals
Aug 6
Iiro Vasa
M25 Fano · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Gioele Cerelli
M25 Fano · 1st Round
Aug 4
Ilya Snitari
M15 Bucharest · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Mihai Razvan Marinescu
M15 Bucharest · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Felix Roussel
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 22
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
M15 Brasilia · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Victor Braga
M15 Brasilia · 1st Round
Jun 9
Diego Jarry Fillol
M15 Quito · 1st Round
Apr 29
Nicolas Villalon Valdes
M15 Quito · Round of 32
Apr 22
Nicolas Villalon
M15 Quito · 1st Round
Apr 21
Nicolas Villalon
KIA Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Juan Sebastian Osorio
Chaca Challenger Metepec Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–40 matches
| Metric | Catini | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 29% |
| Sets won | 44% | 29% |
| Games won | 47% | 40% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Catini | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Catini | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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