Neo Niedner vs Patricio AlvaradoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Neo Niedner and Patricio Alvarado have met 1 time since 2026; Patricio Alvarado leads 1–0. Across all meetings Niedner has taken 0 sets to Alvarado's 2. Their most recent meeting: Patricio Alvarado won at M15 Columbia (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Niedner | Alvarado | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Neo Niedner | Patricio Alvarado | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 8/13 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 3/8 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 8/21 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 3/6 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | 11% | 1/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 2/5 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 10/12 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 8/12 | 43% | 3/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Niedner 0, Alvarado 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Niedner
⚔️ The Gladiator
Alvarado
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 233 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 22, 2026
M15 Columbia
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Niedner | Alvarado | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Neo Niedner | Patricio Alvarado | ||
| 1 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Niedner | Alvarado |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 0–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 5.12 |
| ROI % | +5.2% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.31u | -3.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Niedner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Alvarado's 33%).
| Opponent | Niedner | Alvarado |
|---|---|---|
| Alvin Nicholas Tudorica | L 36 67 | L 76 57 36 |
| Connor Smillie | W 76 61 | W 60 64 |
| Matt Kuhar | W 64 63 | L 16 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
M15 Fayetteville · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Duje Markovina
M15 Fayetteville · 1st Round
Sep 30
Volodymyr Gurenko
M15 Fayetteville · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Connor Smillie
M15 Fayetteville · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Patricio Alvarado
M15 Columbia · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Cole Henceroth
M15 Columbia · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Vincent Dullinger
M15 Frankfurt · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Tom Zeuch
M15 Frankfurt · 1st Round
Aug 4
Victor Bini
M15 Quito · 1st Round
Oct 7
Sean Daryabeigi
M15 Columbia · 1st Round
Sep 23
Neo Niedner
M15 Columbia · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Carel Aubriel Ngounoue
M15 Columbia · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Quinn Vandecasteele
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 9
Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
M15 Huamantla · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Mario Andre Galarraga
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 21
Tomas Martinez
Quito Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–21 matches
| Metric | Niedner | Alvarado |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 21% |
| Sets won | 58% | 30% |
| Games won | 52% | 43% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Niedner | Alvarado |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Niedner | Alvarado |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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