Natsumi Kawaguchi vs Rinko MatsudaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Natsumi Kawaguchi
#411 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇯🇵Rinko Matsuda
#436 · 21 yrs
3Natsumi Kawaguchi and Rinko Matsuda have met 1 time since 2026; Rinko Matsuda leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kawaguchi has taken 0 sets to Matsuda's 2. Their most recent meeting: Rinko Matsuda won at W35 Kyoto (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kawaguchi | Matsuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Natsumi Kawaguchi | Rinko Matsuda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 18/28 | 67% | 30/45 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 6/23 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/51 | 35% | 25/71 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 11/23 | 56% | 20/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 13/23 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 5/12 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 22/26 | 87% | 39/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 67% | 30/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kawaguchi 0, Matsuda 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kawaguchi
💥 Big Hitter
Matsuda
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Natsumi Kawaguchi.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 18, 2026
W35 Kyoto
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kawaguchi | Matsuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Natsumi Kawaguchi | Rinko Matsuda | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 83% | 15/18 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 50% | 9/18 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kawaguchi | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.86 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | -46.9% | +15.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.75u | +2.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kawaguchi | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 6 | 8 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ESP → AUT → CHN | ESP → AUT → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Kawaguchi and Matsuda posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Kawaguchi | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Kayo Nishimura | W 63 62 | W 62 36 62 |
| Unknown Player | L 46 57 | L 26 67 |
| Priska Madelyn Nugroho | L 36 60 67 | L 36 06 |
| Ya Yi Yang | L 26 16 | W 76 67 64 |
| Kisa Yoshioka | W 63 26 64 | L 63 36 36 |
| Momoko Kobori | L 63 36 57 | L 26 46 |
| Elena Micic | W 26 76 60 | W 63 61 |
| Junhan Zhang | L 67 26 | L 67 64 46 |
| Hikaru Sato | L 46 67 | W 63 76 |
| Reina Goto | W 76 46 63 | L 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Meiqi Guo
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 26
Sayaka Ishii
W50 Nanao · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Kayo Nishimura
W50 Nanao · 1st Round
Sep 22
Rinko Matsuda
W35 Kyoto · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Haruna Arakawa
W35 Kyoto · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Kayo Nishimura
W35 Kyoto · 1st Round
Sep 15
Unknown Player
W50 Guiyang · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Funa Kozaki
W75 Tianjin · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Sijia Wei
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Katarzyna Kawa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Sakura Hosogi
W50 Nanao · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Ikumi Yamazaki
W50 Nanao · 1st Round
Sep 22
Hiromi Abe
W35 Kyoto · Semifinals
Sep 19
Natsumi Kawaguchi
W35 Kyoto · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Hina Inoue
W35 Kyoto · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Ayumi Miyamoto
W35 Kyoto · 1st Round
Sep 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–71 matches
| Metric | Kawaguchi | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 63% |
| Sets won | 53% | 60% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kawaguchi | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kawaguchi | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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