Naoya Honda vs William JansenPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Naoya Honda and William Jansen have met 1 time since 2026; Naoya Honda leads 1–0. Across all meetings Honda has taken 2 sets to Jansen's 0. Their most recent meeting: Naoya Honda won at M25 Champaign (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Honda | Jansen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naoya Honda | William Jansen | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 22/28 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 10/25 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 16/53 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 11/25 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 15/22 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 26/34 | 100% | 5/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 22/34 | 100% | 5/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Honda 1, Jansen 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Honda
⚙️ Grinder
Jansen
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward William Jansen.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 25, 2026
M25 Champaign
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Honda | Jansen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naoya Honda | William Jansen | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 18/20 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 15/20 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 5 or more | 55% | 11/20 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Honda | Jansen |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–8 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.71 | 1.80 |
| ROI % | -0.7% | -16.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.14u | -2.08u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Honda | Jansen |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Jansen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Honda's 0%).
| Opponent | Honda | Jansen |
|---|---|---|
| Keaton Hance | L 46 26 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikita Filin
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Kaylan Bigun
M25 Southaven · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Ryan Dickerson
M25 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 4
Keaton Hance
M25 Edwardsville · 1st Round
Jul 29
Evan Bynoe
M25 Champaign · Final
Jul 26
William Jansen
M25 Champaign · Semifinals
Jul 25
Nikita Filin
M25 Champaign · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Vignesh Gogineni
M25 Champaign · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Billy Blaydes
M25 Aldershot · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Louis Bowden
M25 Aldershot · 1st Round
Jul 29
Naoya Honda
M25 Champaign · Semifinals
Jul 25
Karim Bennani
M25 Champaign · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Ilyas Milad Fahim
M25 Champaign · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Keaton Hance
M25 Champaign · 1st Round
Jul 22
Alexander Frusina
M25 Louisville · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Joshua Peck
M25 Louisville · 1st Round
Jul 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–53 matches
| Metric | Honda | Jansen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 50% |
| Sets won | 54% | 51% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Honda | Jansen |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Honda | Jansen |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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