Naoya Honda vs Stefanos SakellaridisPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Matsuyama Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- November 8 · 7:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 4.08 or longer, Naoya Honda has won 2 of 11 (18%). That is level with the 17% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Naoya Honda meets Stefanos Sakellaridis in the 1st Round of the Matsuyama Challenger on hard court on November 8. Honda, ranked 584th, has won three of his last five matches. Sakellaridis sits 129th in the rankings but has won just two of his last ten, including losses in his last two outings.
The pair have never played. Honda has gone 9-11 on hard courts in his recent sample, while Sakellaridis sits at 10-10 on the surface. Both faced Petr Bar Biryukov recently with opposite results: Honda lost while Sakellaridis won. Sakellaridis has played three matches in the past two weeks; Honda has played four.
Honda attacks from the baseline and needs to sustain depth and placement to maintain pressure through rallies. Sakellaridis relies heavily on his serve to dictate early in points and prefers short exchanges. The match asks whether Honda can execute his aggressive game without accumulating errors while Sakellaridis can construct points beyond the opening strike after his recent form dip.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Honda | Sakellaridis | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naoya Honda | Stefanos Sakellaridis | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 27/35 | 67% | 31/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 12/28 | 31% | 9/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 20/63 | 32% | 24/75 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 41% | 18/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 11/21 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 17/28 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 31/41 | 91% | 39/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 27/41 | 72% | 31/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Honda
💥 Big Hitter
Sakellaridis
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,696 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Honda and Sakellaridis have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Honda | Sakellaridis | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naoya Honda | Stefanos Sakellaridis | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 84% | 16/19 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 6/15 | 79% | 15/19 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 11% | 2/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Honda | Sakellaridis |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–8 | 12–12 |
| Avg odds | 2.74 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | +2.8% | -2.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.38u | -0.65u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Honda | Sakellaridis |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | KAZ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Honda and Sakellaridis posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Honda | Sakellaridis |
|---|---|---|
| Petr Bar Biryukov | L 36 46 | W 62 63 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | W 61 64 | L 57 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Liam Broady
Ningboo Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 29
Filip Peliwo
Ningboo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 27
Khumoun Sultanov
Ningboo Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 26
Ryuki Matsuda
Ningboo Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 25
Kasidit Samrej
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Kristjan Tamm
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Marat Sharipov
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Petr Bar Biryukov
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Yuta Shimizu
Taipei Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 3
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Seoul Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 29
Timofey Skatov
Seoul Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 27
Mikhail Kukushkin
Almaty Open - Almaty · 1st Round
Oct 19
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Almaty Open - Almaty · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Petr Bar Biryukov
Almaty Open - Almaty · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 17
Keegan Smith
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 13
Timofey Skatov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–76 matches
| Metric | Honda | Sakellaridis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 61% |
| Sets won | 56% | 57% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |